Ittihad Tanger vs Difaâ El Jadida: match statistics
Ittihad Tanger vs Difaâ El Jadida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ittihad Tanger played Difaâ El Jadida in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ittihad Tanger: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Difaâ El Jadida: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ittihad Tanger scores 0.79 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Difaâ El Jadida scores 0.89 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ittihad Tanger 58%, Difaâ El Jadida 42%. Over 2.5: Ittihad Tanger 26%, Difaâ El Jadida 42%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Ittihad Tanger has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.06. Ittihad Tanger: 9.9 shots per match, Difaâ El Jadida: 8.1.
Match halves
Ittihad Tanger: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.53. Difaâ El Jadida: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Ittihad Tanger: 76-90+ (6 goals). Difaâ El Jadida: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win for Difaâ El Jadida. Difaâ sit 6th in the table versus Ittihad Tanger in 12th and have a superior season record: 7-7-5 compared to the home side’s 3-10-6. The visitors are more efficient and consistent: shot conversion rate 11% vs 7%, averaging 0.78 goals scored away and 0.78 conceded away, while the hosts average 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded in home matches. Ittihad holds an edge in possession (51% vs 46%), attempts more shots (9.44 vs 7.11) and posts higher xG (1.15 vs 1.01), but this hasn’t translated into goals (0.67 goals for on xG 1.15), indicating inefficiency in finishing. Considering the visitors’ stronger defense (clean sheets 44% vs 33%), higher recent form (average points in last 5: 1.6 vs 1.2) and superior league position, I rate Difaâ as more likely to win, though a draw remains possible given the hosts’ high share of draws (67% of home matches).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators show a moderate tendency toward BTTS: Ittihad Tanger has BTTS 40% and Difaâ El Jadida 44%, while the league average is 50%. However, in the last 5 matches both teams had BTTS at 60%, which suggests increased short-term probability. xG and shot metrics support this trend: xG against stands at 1.40 for the home side and 1.45 for the away side, and average shots are 9.0 (2.9 on target) for the home team and 7.11 (2.67 on target) for the visitors — both teams concede significant chances. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 4 and conceded 4 goals (0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded), while the visitors scored 6 and conceded 5 (1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded), indicating both sides regularly score and concede. Therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 62% versus 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: home xG 1.10 vs away defense 1.45 yields an average 1.275 (rounded to 1.28) for Ittihad Tanger, while away xG 1.01 vs home defense 1.40 yields 1.205 (rounded to 1.20); totaling 2.48 expected goals. Shot data confirm moderate scoring — home 9.0 shots with 11% conversion (~0.99 goals), away 7.11 shots with 11% (~0.78 goals), and in the last 5 matches goals are 4 for the home side (0.8 avg) and 6 for the away side (1.2 avg). Historically the home team has 60% of matches over 1.5 goals, the away side 44%, and Poisson for λ=2.48 gives P(over 1.5)≈71%, P(over 2.5)≈45% and P(over 3.5)≈24%. Seasonal over 2.5 rates are 50% for home and 33% for away, and away over 3.5 is 0%, which lowers the probability of a very high-scoring game. As a result the strongest signal is over 1.5 (71%), therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: the home side led at the break in 30% of matches, while a draw at the break occurred in 50% of the home team’s games and in 78% of the away team’s games. Home teams score on average 0.5 goals by half-time versus 0.11 for away teams (9 home goals vs 4 away goals in first halves), so if a goal is scored before the break it is more likely to be by the home side. In the second half the away team holds the advantage – they won the second half in 44% of cases and score on average 0.67 goals after the break versus 0.5 for the home team, while home teams concede on average 0.8 goals after half-time; this gives the away side a real chance of a turnaround. Overall the strongest signal from the data is draw at half-time and draw at full-time (X/X), so X/X receives the highest probability (20%), with X/2 (18%) and 1/1 (18%) as close alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ittihad Tanger | Difaâ El Jadida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Difaâ El Jadida is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ittihad Tanger · 1.6 pts / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Difaâ El Jadida is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Ittihad Tanger · 0.89 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Difaâ El Jadida is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Ittihad Tanger · 1 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Ittihad Tanger scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Difaâ El Jadida keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Difaâ El Jadida scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Ittihad Tanger keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ittihad Tanger
Over / Under - Difaâ El Jadida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Difaâ El Jadida is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Ittihad Tanger · 1.11 pts / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ittihad Tanger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Difaâ El Jadida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ittihad Tanger
Difaâ El Jadida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Ittihad Tanger | Liga | Difaâ El Jadida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.95 | 2.17 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 38% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ittihad Tanger 0 - 1 - 0 Difaâ El Jadida. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ittihad Tanger vs Difaâ El Jadida?
The Botola Pro match finished Ittihad Tanger 1:1 Difaâ El Jadida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ittihad Tanger vs Difaâ El Jadida?
Ittihad Tanger score 0.79 goals per game on average and Difaâ El Jadida 0.89. The Botola Pro average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Ittihad Tanger's matches and 42% of Difaâ El Jadida's.
What form are Ittihad Tanger and Difaâ El Jadida in?
Over the last 5 games Ittihad Tanger have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Difaâ El Jadida 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ittihad Tanger vs Difaâ El Jadida?
The statistical background for Ittihad Tanger vs Difaâ El Jadida — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.