Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: match statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jagiellonia Białystok played Górnik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Miejski. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Jagiellonia Białystok: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Górnik Zabrze: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.50 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Górnik Zabrze scores 1.78 and concedes 0.89. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jagiellonia Białystok 63%, Górnik Zabrze 67%. Over 2.5: Jagiellonia Białystok 63%, Górnik Zabrze 67%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Górnik Zabrze has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.59. Jagiellonia Białystok: 13.4 shots per match, Górnik Zabrze: 13.4.
Match halves
Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63. Górnik Zabrze: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Jagiellonia Białystok: 31-45+ (6 goals). Górnik Zabrze: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
League leaders Górnik Zabrze are favourites: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and lost none, while Jagiellonia have suffered 4 defeats over the same period. Away from home, the visitors have won 4 of 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.4; Jagiellonia average 1 goal scored and 1.5 conceded at home. Górnik’s advantage is also reflected in their finishing: they convert 12% of their shots into goals, compared with the hosts’ 7%, despite averaging slightly fewer attempts. Jagiellonia create higher-value chances at home, with an xG of 1.74 compared with Górnik’s away xG of 1.61, but have yet to convert them into goals as effectively. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their away matches, while the hosts have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches, strengthening the case for a Górnik win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Jagiellonia have had both teams score in 100% of their home matches, with this outcome occurring in 4 of their last 5 games. Górnik average 1.6 goals away from home and generate an xG of 1.61, while the hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals at home, strongly indicating that the visitors are likely to score. Jagiellonia’s chances of finding the net are supported by their average of 2.0 goals at home and an xG of 1.65. The main argument against BTTS - Yes is Górnik’s defence: the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their away matches and have conceded just 2 goals in total across their last 5 games. Despite this risk, I’m backing both teams to score, as Jagiellonia’s attacking potential gives them a realistic chance of breaking down the visitors’ defence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Jagiellonia’s home matches and in 60% of Górnik’s away matches, supporting the Over 1.5 goals line. The hosts average 2.0 goals at home, but Górnik concede just 0.4 goals away, so I take a more cautious view of Jagiellonia’s scoring potential. On the other hand, the visitors average 1.6 goals away, while Jagiellonia concede 1.5 at home; the hosts have also conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches. The projected total of 2.60 goals supports Over 1.5 goals, while Górnik’s solid defence weakens the case for higher goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Górnik led at the break in 3 of the 5 matches analysed and did not concede in the first half in any of them, while Jagiellonia were trailing at half-time in 3 of their 4 home games. The visitors average 1.0 first-half goals, compared with 0.25 for the hosts, making a Górnik lead after 45 minutes the strongest signal. Recent form supports them holding on to that advantage: Górnik won 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 0.4 goals, whereas Jagiellonia lost 4 of 5 and conceded 2.0 goals on average. However, the hosts average 1.75 goals after the break at home, so a comeback remains a genuine threat to this pick. Even so, Górnik’s first-half advantage and markedly better recent results make the scenario in which the visitors lead at the break and win at full-time the most likely outcome in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Górnik Zabrze is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 2.6 pts / match - Górnik Zabrze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Górnik Zabrze is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.78 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 0.89 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Górnik Zabrze keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Górnik Zabrze scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jagiellonia Białystok
Over / Under - Górnik Zabrze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Górnik Zabrze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jagiellonia Białystok
Górnik Zabrze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Liga | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 3.00 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 63% | 66% | • 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 0 - 2 Górnik Zabrze. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Jagiellonia Białystok 1:3 Górnik Zabrze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Jagiellonia Białystok and Górnik Zabrze?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia Białystok won 0, Górnik Zabrze won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia Białystok score 1.50 goals per game on average and Górnik Zabrze 1.78. The Ekstraklasa average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Jagiellonia Białystok's matches and 67% of Górnik Zabrze's.
What form are Jagiellonia Białystok and Górnik Zabrze in?
Over the last 5 games Jagiellonia Białystok have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Górnik Zabrze 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.