Finland - YkkösliigaJärvenpään keskuskenttäData current as of 04 August 2026

JäPS vs MP: match statistics

Reasoning:

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JäPS vs MP: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

JäPS play MP in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 7 August 2026. Venue: Järvenpään keskuskenttä.

Current form

JäPS: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. MP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

JäPS scores 0.94 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. MP scores 1.12 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: JäPS 24%, MP 53%. Over 2.5: JäPS 41%, MP 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

MP has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.21. JäPS: 9.5 shots per match, MP: 10.7.

Match halves

JäPS: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.41. MP: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

JäPS: 61-75 (4 goals). MP: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.09)
(3.40)
(3.10)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.94Goals scored / match1.12
JäPSMP
1.41Goals conceded / match1.35
JäPSMP
44%Average possession49%
JäPSMP
3.65Shots on target / match3.88
JäPSMP

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.47Shots per match10.71
JäPSMP
3.65Shots on target3.88
JäPSMP
9.9%Shot conversion10.4%
JäPSMP
44%Possession49%
JäPSMP
1.21xG for1.29
JäPSMP
1.57xG against1.51
JäPSMP

Shooting quality

JäPS: BalancedMP: Balanced
JäPSMP
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

JäPS is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - JäPS · 1.6 pts / match - MP

JäPS
WLWWL
Season result split
47% W6% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-8
1.47 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
MP
WDLDW
Season result split
35% W18% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-8
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MP is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

0.94 goals / match - JäPS · 1.12 goals / match - MP

JäPS scoring profile: strong

JäPS scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

MP scoring profile: strong

MP scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while JäPS keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).

16Goals scored (season)19
JäPSMP
24Goals conceded (season)23
JäPSMP
2.35Average goals in match2.47
JäPSMP
5Goals scored (last 5)9
JäPSMP
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
JäPSMP

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal76%
JäPSMP
24%2 goals29%
JäPSMP
6%3 goals6%
JäPSMP
0%4 goals0%
JäPSMP

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal76%
JäPSMP
35%2 goals35%
JäPSMP
24%3 goals24%
JäPSMP
18%4 goals0%
JäPSMP

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time18%
JäPSMP
0%BTTS in both halves6%
JäPSMP
12%Scored in both halves12%
JäPSMP

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
JäPSMP
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
JäPSMP
20%BTTS - last 5100%
JäPSMP

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
JäPSMP
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
JäPSMP
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
JäPSMP

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
JäPSMP
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
JäPSMP
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
JäPSMP

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MP is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - JäPS · 1.65 pts / match - MP

JäPS - half-time state
35% leading47% draw18% trailing
MP - half-time state
41% leading41% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.65
JäPSMP
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.59
JäPSMP
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
JäPSMP
0.82Average goals (1st half)0.94
JäPSMP
71%Clean sheet before half-time65%
JäPSMP
59%No goal before half-time53%
JäPSMP

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)0.82
JäPSMP
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
JäPSMP
1.12Goals conceded (2nd half)1
JäPSMP
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.53
JäPSMP
53%Clean sheet after half-time41%
JäPSMP
65%No goal after half-time59%
JäPSMP

JäPS - second-half results

29% W29% R41% P
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MP - second-half results

12% W47% R41% P
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

JäPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
MP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

JäPS
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
4
7
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

MP
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
3
1
16-30
5
0
31-45
0
6
46-60
2
3
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

JäPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

MP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

JäPSLigaMP
Average goals in match 2.352.51 2.47
Both teams scored 24%46% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%45% 47%
Clean sheets 47%31% 24%
Goal before half-time 59%62% 65%
Goal after half-time 76%73% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: JäPS 0 - 0 - 1 MP. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do JäPS and MP play?

JäPS face MP on 7 August 2026 in Ykkösliiga at Järvenpään keskuskenttä. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before JäPS vs MP?

JäPS score 0.94 goals per game on average and MP 1.12. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 24% of JäPS's matches and 53% of MP's.

What form are JäPS and MP in?

Over the last 5 games JäPS have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and MP 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JäPS vs MP?

The statistical background for JäPS vs MP — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.