Juventud vs Cerro: match statistics
Juventud vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Juventud played Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Juventud: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cerro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Juventud scores 1.21 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.79 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Juventud 62%, Cerro 45%. Over 2.5: Juventud 48%, Cerro 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Juventud has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.22. Juventud: 10.5 shots per match, Cerro: 10.1.
Match halves
Juventud: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.52. Cerro: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.28.
Goals by minute
Juventud: 31-45+ (11 goals). Cerro: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Juventud have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 36% of their matches at home, while Cerro win only 20% of their away games and lose as many as 67%. The hosts create more high-quality chances, averaging 1.50 xG compared with Cerro’s 1.22, and also register 5.07 shots on target per match versus 3.07 for the visitors. Cerro’s away defence concedes an average of 2.20 goals per game and allows opponents 1.79 xG, which aligns well with Juventud’s edge in chance creation. The last five matches give Juventud a slight advantage, with 8 points and 9 goals scored, compared with Cerro’s 7 points and 6 goals. The hosts are not flawless defensively, but Cerro’s poor away attacking record—0.80 goals per match and 40% of games without scoring—supports a Juventud win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick is primarily based on the low attacking efficiency of both teams throughout the season: Juventud score an average of 0.79 goals, while Cerro average 0.80. The hosts are particularly solid without the ball, conceding just 0.71 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 36% of their games, while Cerro have failed to score in 40% of their appearances. Juventud’s scoring potential is evident, as Cerro concede an average of 2.20 goals and have kept clean sheets in only 7% of matches, but this does not guarantee an away goal. Admittedly, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, but Juventud’s season BTTS rate is only 36%, compared with a league average of 51%, supporting a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals, as Juventud have not recorded a single match with at least four goals this season, with their games finishing below this line in 100% of cases. The hosts average just 0.79 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per match, with a 36% clean-sheet rate, which limits Cerro’s potential, as they score an average of 0.80 goals. Cerro have a weak defense, conceding 2.20 goals per match, so Juventud should be able to create chances; their xG stands at 1.22 compared with the visitors’ 1.79 xG conceded. Juventud’s last five matches have been noticeably more open, averaging 3.2 goals with 80% of games finishing Over 2.5, but this is still not sufficient evidence for a four-goal scenario. The projected total of 2.34 goals points to a realistic 1–3 goal range, while the 3.5 line provides a clear safety margin.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Juventud have been clearly more solid throughout the season, averaging 1.50 points per game compared with Cerro’s 0.73, while the visitors have lost as many as 67% of their matches. Crucially for the HT/FT scenario, the hosts have not been trailing at half-time in any match, keeping a clean sheet before the break in 79% of their games, whereas Cerro concede an average of 0.93 goals in the first half. Cerro also have a weak defensive record after the interval, conceding an average of 1.27 goals and failing to score in the second half in 80% of matches. Juventud have additionally kept a clean sheet in 36% of their matches overall, compared with just 7% for Cerro, who concede an average of 2.20 goals away from home. The most likely outcome is therefore a Juventud lead at the break followed by them holding on to their advantage until the final whistle, although the hosts’ high proportion of half-time draws also increases the chances of the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Juventud | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Juventud is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Juventud · 1.4 pts / match - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juventud is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Juventud · 0.79 goals / match - Cerro
Juventud is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Juventud · 1.48 goals / match - Cerro
Juventud scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Cerro scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Juventud
Over / Under - Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Juventud · 1.1 pts / match - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Juventud
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Juventud | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.55 | 2.38 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 45% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 67% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Juventud 1 - 0 - 2 Cerro. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Juventud vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Juventud 0:0 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Juventud and Cerro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Juventud won 1, Cerro won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Juventud vs Cerro?
Juventud score 1.21 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.79. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Juventud's matches and 45% of Cerro's.
What form are Juventud and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Juventud have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cerro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Juventud vs Cerro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Juventud vs Cerro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.