KA vs ÍA: match statistics
KA vs ÍA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KA played ÍA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 12 July 2026. Venue: Akureyrarvöllur. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
KA: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. ÍA: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KA scores 1.46 and concedes 2.15 goals per match. ÍA scores 1.31 and concedes 1.92. League average: 4.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KA 69%, ÍA 62%. Over 2.5: KA 62%, ÍA 62%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
ÍA has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.64. KA: 14.4 shots per match, ÍA: 14.2.
Match halves
KA: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.92. ÍA: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
KA: 76-90+ (6 goals). ÍA: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.00 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2) because KA is in severe decline — 0 points in the last five matches and 5 straight losses, conceding 18 goals in that span (3.6 per game). At home KA averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game, with only a 17% win rate and 83% loss rate at home, which clearly undermines their chances. ÍA displays superior offensive metrics on the road: 5.29 shots on target and 1.57 goals per game with 11% conversion versus KA’s 4.33 shots on target and 1.33 goals, and higher xG per game 1.68 vs 1.54. The visitors also have a better recent five-match defensive record: 1 win and an average of 0.6 points per game and 11 goals conceded (2.2 per game), which compared to KA’s 18 conceded in the same period gives them a defensive edge. Considering these figures and ÍA’s higher away efficiency, the most likely outcome is an away victory, with a moderate chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
League and team indicators strongly point to BTTS: KA has a seasonal BTTS 67%, ÍA 57%, and league-wide BTTS occurs in 74% of matches. In the last 5 games KA had BTTS 100%, scoring 10 and conceding 18 (avg 2.0 scored and 3.6 conceded), while ÍA in their last 5 scored 6 and conceded 11 (1.2 and 2.2). xG confirms open games: KA generates 1.64 xG and concedes 1.44 xG, ÍA generates 1.68 xG and concedes 1.86 xG, so both teams create and allow about 1.4–1.9 xG per match. Clean sheets are rare (KA 17%, ÍA 14%), seasonal tallies are 19 scored/28 conceded for KA and 17/25 for ÍA, and Over 2.5 is 50% for KA and 71% for ÍA, therefore I back BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80% versus 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combines each side’s attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: KA has ~1.75 expected goals (attacking xG 1.64 vs opponent xG conceded 1.86), and ÍA ~1.56 (attacking xG 1.68 vs KA defence 1.44), yielding ~3.31 total expected goals. Season metrics indicate strong goal potential — KA has 83% of matches over 1.5 goals, ÍA 71%, and the league averages 4.0 goals per game with 71% of fixtures over 2.5. In the last 5 matches KA scored 10 and conceded 18 (avg 2.0 scored, 3.6 conceded), while ÍA scored 6 and conceded 11 (1.2 and 2.2), confirming a tendency toward high-scoring affairs. Additionally BTTS occurs in 67% of KA games and 57% of ÍA games (league 74%), and Over 2.5 appears in 71% of ÍA games and 50% of KA games, so the strongest signal is for Over. I recommend Over 1.5 as the optimal line (estimated probability ~88%), with a strong indication for Over 2.5 (~69%) based on the combined xG of 3.31 and high BTTS rates.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time I anticipate a draw — the away side were level at the break in 57% of matches (4 of 7), while the home team led at half-time in 50% of games (3 of 6), indicating an even first half. In the second half the away team are the favourites: they score on average 1.14 goals after the break, the hosts concede on average 1.17 goals after the break, with average second-half goals of 2.71 in the away team’s matches versus 1.67 in the hosts’ matches. The away team are also more efficient — a shot conversion rate of 11% compared to 7% for the hosts, with a similar xG of 1.68 (away) vs 1.64 (home), suggesting an advantage in finishing chances. The hosts are in poor form (5 defeats in their last 5 matches), while the away team have 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5 (LWLLL), so the strongest signal points to a draw at half-time and a turnaround with the away team winning by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KA | ÍA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KA is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - KA · 1.31 goals / match - ÍA
ÍA is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.15 goals / match - KA · 1.92 goals / match - ÍA
KA scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
ÍA scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KA
Over / Under - ÍA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ÍA is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - KA · 1.31 pts / match - ÍA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KA
ÍA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| KA | Liga | ÍA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.62 | 4.00 | ▼ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 15% | 14% | • 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 88% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): KA 2 - 1 - 1 ÍA. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KA vs ÍA?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished KA 3:2 ÍA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KA and ÍA?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches KA won 2, ÍA won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KA vs ÍA?
KA score 1.46 goals per game on average and ÍA 1.31. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 69% of KA's matches and 62% of ÍA's.
What form are KA and ÍA in?
Over the last 5 games KA have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and ÍA 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KA vs ÍA?
The statistical background for KA vs ÍA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.