KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: match statistics
KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KAA Gent played KV Mechelen in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
KAA Gent: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. KV Mechelen: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
KAA Gent scores 1.63 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. KV Mechelen scores 1.30 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KAA Gent 60%, KV Mechelen 63%. Over 2.5: KAA Gent 60%, KV Mechelen 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
KAA Gent has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.24. KAA Gent: 13.2 shots per match, KV Mechelen: 10.1.
Match halves
KAA Gent: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.97. KV Mechelen: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
KAA Gent: 76-90+ (16 goals). KV Mechelen: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KAA Gent holds a clear advantage in chance creation: the hosts average 14.93 shots per home match (4.13 on target) and 1.8 goals per game, while KV Mechelen on the road records 9.53 shots (3.8 on target) and 1.33 goals per match. This gap is reflected in xG: Gent posts 1.61 xG at home versus Mechelen’s 1.19 xG away, and additionally Gent concedes 1.41 xG against compared to Mechelen’s 1.73 xG. In formal results Gent wins 53% of home games and has a +10 goal difference at the stadium, whereas Mechelen wins 40% of away fixtures and has an away goal difference of -1. Over the last 5 matches both teams averaged 1.8 points, but Gent scored 8 and conceded 6, while Mechelen scored 7 and conceded 8, giving the hosts a slight defensive edge. Considering the higher volume of shots (14.93 vs 9.53), superior xG (1.61 vs 1.19) and lower average goals conceded (1.13 vs 1.4), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates — KAA Gent 67% and KV Mechelen 60% — above the league average of 54%, indicating an elevated likelihood of both sides scoring (BTTS - Yes). Both sides display similar offensive profiles: xG per match 1.29 for Gent and 1.19 for Mechelen, with xG against around 1.71–1.73, meaning both teams create and concede a significant number of chances. This season Gent have scored 49 and conceded 43, Mechelen 39 scored and 37 conceded, and average shots on target are 3.73 vs 3.8, demonstrating genuine attacking potential on both ends. In the last 5 matches Gent have BTTS in 40% with averages of 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, while Mechelen have 60% BTTS with 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded; this confirms Mechelen more frequently allows both teams to score. Considering the seasonal 67% and 60% BTTS, high xG against (~1.72) and a low clean sheet expected rate (27%) for both teams, I recommend a BTTS 'Yes' bet with an estimated probability of about 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.51 xG for KAA Gent and 1.45 xG for KV Mechelen, totalling 2.96 goals, which is above the 2.5 line. This season both teams have 73% of matches with over 1.5 goals, and in the last 5 fixtures both record 60% of matches over 2.5, supporting a >2.5 scenario. Shot metrics show Gent averages 10.6 shots and 3.73 on target with xG 1.29, while Mechelen average 9.53 shots and 3.8 on target with xG 1.19; opponents of both teams generate 1.71 and 1.73 xG against on average, indicating space to score. Additionally BTTS is 67% for Gent and 60% for Mechelen, and in the last 5 matches Gent scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) and Mechelen 7 goals (1.4 avg), further favoring over 2.5. Over 3.5 has weaker seasonal backing (20% for Gent, 40% for Mechelen), therefore I recommend over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics show KAA Gent led at half-time in 8 matches (53% of appearances) with an average of 0.6 goals by the break, while KV Mechelen led in 6 matches (40%) with an average of 0.67. Gent concedes only 0.13 goals on average by half-time versus 0.73 for Mechelen, indicating a clear defensive advantage for the home side in the first 45 minutes. Over 90 minutes Gent averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.07 conceded, while Mechelen averages 1.33 scored and 1.40 conceded; additionally the home side’s xG is 1.29 versus 1.19 for the visitors, supporting the expectation that the hosts will create more chances. In the last 5 matches Gent won 3 of 5 (60%), and hosts have accumulated 30 points at half-time with an average 2.0 points by the break, versus 21 points and 1.4 for the visitors, so when leading at the break they are able to see out results. Therefore the strongest signal is the scenario of Gent leading at half-time and maintaining the win after 90 minutes (HT/FT 1/1), which I assign the highest probability to.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KAA Gent | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KAA Gent is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - KAA Gent · 1.3 goals / match - KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - KAA Gent · 1.23 goals / match - KV Mechelen
KAA Gent scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
KV Mechelen scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while KAA Gent keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KAA Gent
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - KAA Gent · 1.7 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KAA Gent - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KAA Gent
KV Mechelen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KAA Gent | Liga | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.07 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): KAA Gent 1 - 1 - 0 KV Mechelen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
The Pro League match finished KAA Gent 1:1 KV Mechelen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KAA Gent and KV Mechelen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches KAA Gent won 1, KV Mechelen won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
KAA Gent score 1.63 goals per game on average and KV Mechelen 1.30. The Pro League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of KAA Gent's matches and 63% of KV Mechelen's.
What form are KAA Gent and KV Mechelen in?
Over the last 5 games KAA Gent have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and KV Mechelen 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.