KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht: match statistics
KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KAA Gent played RSC Anderlecht in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
KAA Gent: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. RSC Anderlecht: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KAA Gent scores 1.42 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. RSC Anderlecht scores 1.44 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KAA Gent 56%, RSC Anderlecht 53%. Over 2.5: KAA Gent 53%, RSC Anderlecht 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
RSC Anderlecht has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.43. KAA Gent: 12.7 shots per match, RSC Anderlecht: 14.9.
Match halves
KAA Gent: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81. RSC Anderlecht: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
KAA Gent: 76-90+ (16 goals). RSC Anderlecht: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gent (4th) holds a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they average 1.56 goals scored and concede only 1.11, with a home goal difference of +8, whereas Anderlecht away averages 1.22 goals scored and a -10 goal difference. xG slightly favors the hosts: Gent generates 1.55 xG at home versus Anderlecht’s 1.50 xG away, while the visitors concede 1.86 xG on the road compared to 1.42 xG conceded by Anderlecht when facing Gent at Gent’s ground. Chance conversion rate also supports Gent (11% conversion at home vs 9% for Anderlecht away) and the hosts keep more clean sheets (33% vs 17%). However, Gent’s poor form over the last 5 matches must be accounted for: only 1 goal and an average of 0.4 points per match, whereas Anderlecht scored 7 goals and averaged 1.2 points per match in that period, despite conceding 10 goals. Considering Gent’s superior home defense and efficiency but also their recent slump, I forecast a home win with probability distribution: 58% Gent, 22% draw, 20% Anderlecht.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (60%) because KAA Gent’s home season BTTS rate is 61% versus a league level of 55%, while RSC Anderlecht—despite a 44% away BTTS—has an 80% BTTS rate in the last 5 matches. Gent averages 1.67 goals per game this season with an xG of 1.85, whereas Anderlecht concedes 1.78 goals seasonally and 2.0 goals in their last five, increasing the hosts’ scoring probability. Anderlecht has scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 per game) and conceded 10 (2.0 per game), indicating a propensity for goal exchanges. Against BTTS is Gent’s poor recent attacking form—only 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 per game) and 20% BTTS in that period—but Anderlecht’s low share of clean sheets away (17%) and the seasonal profiles tilt the balance toward a both-teams-to-score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: Gent’s attack generates 1.85 xG per match while Anderlecht concedes 1.86 xG, yielding an expected ~1.86 goals for the home side (average of 1.85 and 1.86). Anderlecht’s attack has 1.50 xG and Gent concedes 1.19 xG, giving an expected ~1.35 goals for the away side; the total expected is 3.21 goals. A Poisson model at this total suggests approximately an 83% chance of Over 1.5 goals, 62% for Over 2.5 goals and 40% for Over 3.5 goals. Season data confirm the offensive nature: Gent scores 1.67 goals on 16.44 shots per game, Anderlecht 1.22 goals on 13.28 shots; matches with at least one goal occurred in 83% of Gent’s games and 100% of Anderlecht’s games, and both teams scored in 61%/44% of matches. Based on this, the strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5, since the projected total of 3.21 goals and historical 61% and 83% figures for the Over 1.5 line provide a clear edge to the Over side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely — the home side are level at the break in 44% of matches and lead at the break in only 22% of cases. Gent holds a clear advantage in Full-Time outcomes: they win 50% of home games, whereas Anderlecht win 28% of their away matches. The home advantage is supported by xG numbers (Gent 1.85 vs Anderlecht 1.50) and xG against (Gent 1.19 vs 1.86), as well as greater shot volume: 5.44 shots on target and 16.44 total shots per match versus opponents' 4.17 and 13.28. Gent averages 1.11 goals after the break and concedes 0.5, while Anderlecht score 0.72 and concede 1.0 after half-time, so the most justified scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KAA Gent | RSC Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RSC Anderlecht is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - KAA Gent · 1.2 pts / match - RSC Anderlecht
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KAA Gent is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - KAA Gent · 1.47 goals / match - RSC Anderlecht
KAA Gent scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while RSC Anderlecht keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
RSC Anderlecht scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while KAA Gent keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KAA Gent
Over / Under - RSC Anderlecht
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KAA Gent is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - KAA Gent · 1.11 pts / match - RSC Anderlecht
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KAA Gent - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RSC Anderlecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KAA Gent
RSC Anderlecht
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KAA Gent | Liga | RSC Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.68 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): KAA Gent 1 - 0 - 2 RSC Anderlecht. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht?
The Pro League match finished KAA Gent 1:1 RSC Anderlecht. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KAA Gent and RSC Anderlecht?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches KAA Gent won 1, RSC Anderlecht won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht?
KAA Gent score 1.42 goals per game on average and RSC Anderlecht 1.44. The Pro League average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of KAA Gent's matches and 53% of RSC Anderlecht's.
What form are KAA Gent and RSC Anderlecht in?
Over the last 5 games KAA Gent have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and RSC Anderlecht 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht?
The statistical background for KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.