Kairat vs Ulytau: match statistics
Kairat vs Ulytau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kairat played Ulytau in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Astana Arena. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Kairat: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Ulytau: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kairat scores 1.95 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Ulytau scores 0.81 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kairat 55%, Ulytau 48%. Over 2.5: Kairat 55%, Ulytau 29%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Kairat has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.32. Kairat: 15.8 shots per match, Ulytau: 11.1.
Match halves
Kairat: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.95. Ulytau: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Kairat: 76-90+ (11 goals). Ulytau: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kairat are clear favourites: they sit 2nd, have recorded 13 wins in 20 matches and boast a 39:14 goal difference, while Ulytau are seventh with a 17:21 record. At home, the hosts win 67% of their matches, score an average of 2.22 goals and concede just 0.44, whereas the visitors average only 0.60 goals per away game. Kairat’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average xG stands at 1.92 compared with Ulytau’s 1.21, while shots on target are 6.89 to 2.60. Ulytau fail to score in 50% of their away matches, while Kairat keep a clean sheet in 67% of their home fixtures. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just one victory for Ulytau over the same period.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - No is driven primarily by Ulytau’s limited attacking efficiency, as they average just 0.6 goals per match and have failed to score in 50% of their games. Kairat keep a clean sheet in 36% of matches, while conceding just 0.8 goals per game over the last five rounds. The hosts should have the clearer chance of finding the net, as they average 4.64 shots on target compared with the opposition’s 2.60, while Ulytau concede an average of 1.2 goals. Although Ulytau’s recent BTTS rate stands at 60%, Kairat’s season figure of 45% and the visitors’ 50% remain below the league average of 55%. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which Kairat score, while Ulytau once again fail to convert their chances.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The profile of both teams clearly supports a low-scoring outcome: throughout the season, Kairat recorded fewer than 3.5 goals in 100% of matches, while Ulytau posted the same 100% rate. Kairat concede just 0.82 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 36% of appearances, whereas Ulytau score only 0.60 goals per match and have failed to score in 50% of their games. In their last five matches, the hosts recorded a 6:4 goal difference and the visitors 4:6, giving an average of 2.0 total goals per game for each team. The frequency of matches with Over 2.5 goals is also limited to 27% for Kairat and 30% for Ulytau, despite the league exceeding this line in 45% of cases on average. The strongest selection is Under 3.5, as the season data does not show a single match involving either team with at least four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kairat have been clearly stronger throughout the season, winning 55% of their matches and averaging 1.82 points per game, compared with Ulytau’s 10% win rate and 0.80 points per match. The hosts’ advantage is even more evident over their last five games: they held a lead at the break in 60% of those matches, while the visitors were behind at half-time in as many as 60%. During this run, Kairat averaged 1.0 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded before the break, whereas Ulytau scored 0.4 and conceded 0.8. The visitors have also been inefficient across the competition, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and failing to score in 50% of their matches, which limits their chances of completing a turnaround. The HT/FT scenario of Kairat leading at half-time and going on to win is therefore best supported by the difference in form, first-half quality, and both teams’ season-long results.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kairat | Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kairat is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Kairat · 1 pts / match - Ulytau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 141% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Kairat · 0.81 goals / match - Ulytau
Kairat is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Kairat · 1 goals / match - Ulytau
Kairat scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Ulytau keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Ulytau scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kairat
Over / Under - Ulytau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kairat is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Kairat · 1.05 pts / match - Ulytau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ulytau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kairat
Ulytau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kairat | Liga | Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.40 | ▼ 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 45% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KairatYellow cardAdlan Nurgaliev
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kairat 2 - 1 - 0 Ulytau. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kairat vs Ulytau?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kairat 3:1 Ulytau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kairat and Ulytau?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kairat won 2, Ulytau won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kairat vs Ulytau?
Kairat score 1.95 goals per game on average and Ulytau 0.81. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kairat's matches and 48% of Ulytau's.
What form are Kairat and Ulytau in?
Over the last 5 games Kairat have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Ulytau 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kairat vs Ulytau?
The statistical background for Kairat vs Ulytau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.