Kaisar vs FC Caspiy: match statistics
Kaisar vs FC Caspiy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kaisar play FC Caspiy in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 18 July 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kaisar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. FC Caspiy: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kaisar scores 0.74 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. FC Caspiy scores 0.89 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kaisar 53%, FC Caspiy 44%. Over 2.5: Kaisar 32%, FC Caspiy 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Kaisar has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.01. Kaisar: 10.8 shots per match, FC Caspiy: 9.2.
Match halves
Kaisar: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.16. FC Caspiy: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Kaisar: 31-45+ (6 goals). FC Caspiy: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I expect a draw because the home side registers as many as 70% draws and only 10% wins at home, significantly increasing the likelihood of a points split. Kaisar scores 0.8 goals per home match, concedes 0.9 and has average xG 1.20, while FC Caspiy away scores 0.5, concedes 1.2 and has xG 0.88, which gives the hosts a qualitative edge. The hosts average 11.6 shots and 3.8 on target per game versus the visitors' 7.2 shots and 2.5 on target, and both teams have a conversion rate around 7%, so the difference in chance creation is clear but does not translate into many goals. In the last 5 matches Kaisar have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss with an average of 1.6 points per game, while Caspiy won 3 of 5 and have 1.8 points per game; however the visitors register 60% of away matches without scoring and 70% away losses, which weakens their chances. Considering the hosts' superior xG (1.20 vs 0.88), Kaisar's lower goals conceded average (0.9 vs 1.2) and the dominant draw rate for the hosts (70%), I rate the draw as the most likely outcome and assign probabilities of 30% home win, 50% draw, 20% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kaisar | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Caspiy is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kaisar · 2 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Caspiy is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Kaisar · 0.89 goals / match - FC Caspiy
Kaisar is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Kaisar · 1.28 goals / match - FC Caspiy
Kaisar scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while FC Caspiy keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
FC Caspiy scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Kaisar keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kaisar
Over / Under — FC Caspiy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kaisar is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Kaisar · 0.89 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kaisar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Caspiy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kaisar
FC Caspiy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kaisar | Liga | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.84 | 2.31 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kaisar 1 - 0 - 0 FC Caspiy. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kaisar vs FC Caspiy?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kaisar 1:1 FC Caspiy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kaisar vs FC Caspiy?
Kaisar score 0.74 goals per game on average and FC Caspiy 0.89. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kaisar's matches and 44% of FC Caspiy's.
What form are Kaisar and FC Caspiy in?
Over the last 5 games Kaisar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and FC Caspiy 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kaisar vs FC Caspiy?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kaisar vs FC Caspiy: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.