Kapaz vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics
Kapaz vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kapaz play Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Kapaz: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Mil Mugan FK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kapaz scores 0.76 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kapaz 30%, Mil Mugan FK 24%. Over 2.5: Kapaz 45%, Mil Mugan FK 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Kapaz has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.00. Kapaz: 9.6 shots per match, Mil Mugan FK: 8.3.
Match halves
Kapaz: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.42. Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Kapaz: 31-45+ (7 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2) — Mil Mugan concedes on average 1.21 goals away versus Kapaz conceding 1.77 at home, giving the visitors a defensive edge. Kapaz creates more chances at home (avg. 10.31 shots and 3.46 on target, xG 1.24), but a poor 7% conversion rate yields only 0.77 goals per match. Mil Mugan generates fewer shots (7.5, 2.86 on target, xG 0.95) but has a higher 12% conversion and 0.93 goals per match and a 50% rate of away clean sheets, which compensates for the lower volume of chances. In the last five matches Kapaz scored 5 and conceded 9, while Mil Mugan scored 2 and conceded 12, so both teams struggle offensively, but Kapaz has a far worse home record (goal difference -13 and 69% home losses). Taking all this into account I assign a 48% probability to an away win, 32% to a draw and 20% to a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kapaz | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kapaz is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kapaz · 1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kapaz is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Kapaz · 0.7 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Mil Mugan FK is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Kapaz · 1.24 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Kapaz scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kapaz
Over / Under — Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mil Mugan FK is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Kapaz · 1.18 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kapaz
Mil Mugan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Kapaz | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.58 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 46% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kapaz 0 - 1 - 1 Mil Mugan FK. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapaz vs Mil Mugan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Kapaz 0:1 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kapaz and Mil Mugan FK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 0, Mil Mugan FK won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapaz vs Mil Mugan FK?
Kapaz score 0.76 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.70. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Kapaz's matches and 24% of Mil Mugan FK's.
What form are Kapaz and Mil Mugan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Kapaz have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapaz vs Mil Mugan FK?
The statistical background for Kapaz vs Mil Mugan FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.