Kapaz vs Qabala: match statistics
Kapaz vs Qabala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kapaz played Qabala in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Şəhər stadionu. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Kapaz: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Qabala: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kapaz scores 0.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Qabala scores 0.50 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kapaz 33%, Qabala 25%. Over 2.5: Kapaz 33%, Qabala 25%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Qabala has higher xG: 1.20 vs 0.91. Kapaz: 7.0 shots per match, Qabala: 10.3.
Match halves
Kapaz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Qabala: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Kapaz: 46-60 (2 goals). Qabala: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kapaz have home advantage: they have won one of their two home matches, averaging 1 goal and 2.5 shots on target per game. Qabala lost their only away match to date, failed to score, and have a 100% rate of away matches without scoring. However, the hosts are on a poor overall run, with four defeats in their last five appearances and a 2:9 goal difference during that period. Qabala’s defense looks more stable, as they concede an average of 1 goal away from home with an xG against of 1.07, while Kapaz allow opponents an xG of 1.88. The visitors’ better recent form, having collected 7 points from five matches compared with Kapaz’s 3, increases the likelihood of a draw, but their continued attacking ineffectiveness away from home marginally favors the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Qabala’s very poor attacking output: they have not scored a goal in the competition yet and failed to find the net in 100% of their matches. Kapaz also have limited finishing ability, averaging 0.67 goals per game and just 0.4 goals in their last five appearances. BTTS occurred in only 33% of Kapaz’s matches and 0% of Qabala’s, while the league average stands at 36%. Qabala conceded an average of just 0.8 goals in their last five matches, and their average xG against is 1.25, further reducing the hosts’ chances of scoring with confidence. Although Kapaz conceded 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, Qabala’s away xG of 1.24 does not offset their zero scoring output. Therefore, the more likely scenario is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will fail to score. This does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals, as both teams have had 100% of their matches finish with a maximum of three goals. Qabala have failed to score in their away matches in the current data, while Kapaz average just 0.67 goals at home. Kapaz's last five matches produced only 0.4 goals scored per game, with an xG of 0.86, limiting the hosts' attacking potential despite their weaker defense. Qabala look slightly better in terms of recent form, averaging 1.0 goals scored with an xG of 1.24, but their matches have still gone over the 2.5-goal line only 40% of the time. The projected total of 2.35 goals leaves moderate risk of a 2:2 outcome, but clearly supports a scenario with no more than three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Qabala win, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches. Kapaz failed to score a single goal before the break during this period, while Qabala averaged 0.8 goals in the first half and recorded a positive goal difference of +1. The full-time outlook clearly favors the visitors: Qabala averaged 1.4 points per match and won 40% of their last five games, whereas Kapaz managed only 0.6 points and lost 80% of those fixtures. The hosts conceded an average of 1.2 goals after the break in their last five matches, scoring just 0.4, which increases the likelihood that an evenly balanced opening will turn in Qabala’s favor. Additionally, Kapaz have a higher xGA at 1.56 compared with Qabala’s 1.07, so even with a cautious first half, the visitors appear stronger in the battle for the final result.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kapaz | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kapaz is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Kapaz · 0.5 goals / match - Qabala
Qabala is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Kapaz · 0.75 goals / match - Qabala
Kapaz scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Qabala scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kapaz
Over / Under - Qabala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qabala is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Kapaz · 0.75 pts / match - Qabala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapaz - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qabala - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kapaz
Qabala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Kapaz | Liga | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.57 | ▼ 1.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 37% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kapaz 1 - 0 - 2 Qabala. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapaz vs Qabala?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Kapaz 1:0 Qabala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kapaz and Qabala?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 1, Qabala won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapaz vs Qabala?
Kapaz score 0.67 goals per game on average and Qabala 0.50. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kapaz's matches and 25% of Qabala's.
What form are Kapaz and Qabala in?
Over the last 5 games Kapaz have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Qabala 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapaz vs Qabala?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kapaz vs Qabala: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.