Ghana - Ghana Premier LeagueCrosby Awuah Memorial StadiumData current as of 26 September 2026

Karela vs Hearts of Oak: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Karela vs Hearts of Oak: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Karela play Hearts of Oak in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium.

Current form

Karela: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Hearts of Oak: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Karela scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Hearts of Oak scores 2.00 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Karela 100%, Hearts of Oak 33%. Over 2.5: Karela 100%, Hearts of Oak 67%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Hearts of Oak has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.05. Karela: 4.0 shots per match, Hearts of Oak: 8.0.

Match halves

Karela: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33. Hearts of Oak: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Karela: 76-90+ (3 goals). Hearts of Oak: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ghana Premier League: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Goals scored / match2
KarelaHearts of Oak
2Goals conceded / match0.33
KarelaHearts of Oak
34%Average possession54%
KarelaHearts of Oak
2Shots on target / match4
KarelaHearts of Oak

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4Shots per match8
KarelaHearts of Oak
2Shots on target4
KarelaHearts of Oak
41.7%Shot conversion25%
KarelaHearts of Oak
34%Possession54%
KarelaHearts of Oak
1.05xG for1.36
KarelaHearts of Oak
1.11xG against1.02
KarelaHearts of Oak

Shooting quality

Karela: Counter-attackingHearts of Oak: Efficient finishing
KarelaHearts of Oak
Accuracy (shots on target)50%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.260.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.830.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hearts of Oak is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Karela · 2.33 pts / match - Hearts of Oak

Karela
LWL
Season result split
33% W0% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Hearts of Oak
WWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts of Oak is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Karela · 2 goals / match - Hearts of Oak

Hearts of Oak is 506% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Karela · 0.33 goals / match - Hearts of Oak

Karela scoring profile: strong

Karela scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Hearts of Oak keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

Hearts of Oak scoring profile: very strong

Hearts of Oak scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Karela keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)6
KarelaHearts of Oak
6Goals conceded (season)1
KarelaHearts of Oak
3.67Average goals in match2.33
KarelaHearts of Oak
5Goals scored (last 5)6
KarelaHearts of Oak
6Goals conceded (last 5)1
KarelaHearts of Oak

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
KarelaHearts of Oak
33%2 goals67%
KarelaHearts of Oak
33%3 goals33%
KarelaHearts of Oak
0%4 goals33%
KarelaHearts of Oak

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal33%
KarelaHearts of Oak
67%2 goals0%
KarelaHearts of Oak
33%3 goals0%
KarelaHearts of Oak
0%4 goals0%
KarelaHearts of Oak

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
KarelaHearts of Oak
0%BTTS in both halves0%
KarelaHearts of Oak
33%Scored in both halves33%
KarelaHearts of Oak

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
KarelaHearts of Oak
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
KarelaHearts of Oak
100%BTTS - last 533%
KarelaHearts of Oak

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
KarelaHearts of Oak
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
KarelaHearts of Oak
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
KarelaHearts of Oak

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
KarelaHearts of Oak
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
KarelaHearts of Oak
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
KarelaHearts of Oak

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts of Oak is 303% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.33 pts / match - Karela · 1.33 pts / match - Hearts of Oak

Karela - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing
Hearts of Oak - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.33Points per match (1st half)1.33
KarelaHearts of Oak
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.67
KarelaHearts of Oak
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
KarelaHearts of Oak
1.33Average goals (1st half)1
KarelaHearts of Oak
0%Clean sheet before half-time67%
KarelaHearts of Oak
67%No goal before half-time67%
KarelaHearts of Oak

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)2.33
KarelaHearts of Oak
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
KarelaHearts of Oak
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0
KarelaHearts of Oak
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33
KarelaHearts of Oak
33%Clean sheet after half-time100%
KarelaHearts of Oak
0%No goal after half-time33%
KarelaHearts of Oak

Karela - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hearts of Oak - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Karela - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.331.33
Goals scored / match0.31.3
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.32.3
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%100%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet0%33%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1
Hearts of Oak - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.332.33
Goals scored / match0.71.3
Goals conceded / match0.30.0
Average goals in match1.01.3
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Karela
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Hearts of Oak
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Karela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.89
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
260%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Hearts of Oak

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
260%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
20%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).

Teams vs league

KarelaLigaHearts of Oak
Average goals in match▲ 3.672.42• 2.33
Both teams scored▲ 100%54%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%54%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 0%29%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%77%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%65%▲ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
0.77
Away goals / match
+114%
Home attack advantage
+53%
Home defence advantage
+46%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Karela 1 - 1 - 0 Hearts of Oak. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Karela and Hearts of Oak play?

Karela face Hearts of Oak on 26 September 2026 in Ghana Premier League at Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Karela and Hearts of Oak?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Karela won 1, Hearts of Oak won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Karela vs Hearts of Oak?

Karela score 1.67 goals per game on average and Hearts of Oak 2.00. The Ghana Premier League average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Karela's matches and 33% of Hearts of Oak's.

What form are Karela and Hearts of Oak in?

Over the last 5 games Karela have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Hearts of Oak 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karela vs Hearts of Oak?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.