Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk: match statistics
Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karpaty played Shakhtar Donetsk in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Ukrajina. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Karpaty: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Shakhtar Donetsk: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karpaty scores 2.75 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Shakhtar Donetsk scores 2.00 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karpaty 50%, Shakhtar Donetsk 25%. Over 2.5: Karpaty 75%, Shakhtar Donetsk 25%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Shakhtar Donetsk has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.17. Karpaty: 8.3 shots per match, Shakhtar Donetsk: 12.5.
Match halves
Karpaty: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 2.00. Shakhtar Donetsk: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Karpaty: 61-75 (4 goals). Shakhtar Donetsk: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karpaty are the league leaders and remain unbeaten after 4 matches this season, recording 3 wins and a draw, while Shakhtar have a record of 3 victories and 1 defeat. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 goals in that span, whereas the visitors have netted 8 goals and suffered 2 defeats over the same period. At home, Karpaty average 3.0 goals per match with a 26% shot-conversion rate, clearly outperforming Shakhtar, who score an average of 1.5 goals away from home and convert 14% of their shots. Both teams have kept clean sheets in all of their matches so far at home and away respectively, although Karpaty have a slightly higher attacking xG of 1.50 compared with 1.45. Shakhtar enjoy more possession, averaging 62%, and register 6 shots on target per match, but the hosts’ more consistent form and greater efficiency point to a narrow victory for Karpaty.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Shakhtar’s defence, as they have not conceded a goal yet this season and have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches. Karpaty average 2.5 goals scored, but failed to find the net in 50% of their games, while their BTTS rate stands at 50%, compared with 0% for the visitors. Recent form also supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score: BTTS occurred in only 40% of Karpaty’s last five matches and 20% of Shakhtar’s fixtures. During this period, the hosts conceded just 0.4 goals per match, while Shakhtar conceded 0.8, limiting the chances of a goal exchange. The league also has a low BTTS rate of 33%, making a win to nil for one side more likely than both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Karpaty are in excellent attacking form, averaging 2.6 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Shakhtar have conceded just 0.8 goals per game during this period. The hosts are creating chances worth 1.70 xG, but the visitors’ defense has allowed an average of only 1.08 xG and has kept a clean sheet in 100% of their league matches so far. On the other hand, Karpaty have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 appearances, limiting Shakhtar’s attacking potential despite their average of 1.6 goals scored during this period. The 3.5 line has not been covered in any of Shakhtar’s matches this season, while only 50% of Karpaty’s games have gone Over this mark. The projected total of 2.30 goals indicates the clearest value on Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, representing 60% of cases. During this period, Karpaty averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.2 before the break, while Shakhtar averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. After half-time, the hosts clearly step up their intensity: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, winning the second half in 80% of their games. Karpaty’s overall match form is also more consistent, with 4 wins and 1 draw and an average of 2.6 points, compared with Shakhtar’s 3 wins and 2 defeats at an average of 1.8 points. Although Shakhtar have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their away matches to date, Karpaty’s post-half-time advantage makes a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time the most likely scenario: X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karpaty | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.69 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Karpaty is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - Karpaty · 2.25 pts / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karpaty is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
2.75 goals / match - Karpaty · 2 goals / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Karpaty · 0.75 goals / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Shakhtar Donetsk keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Shakhtar Donetsk scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karpaty
Over / Under - Shakhtar Donetsk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karpaty is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Karpaty · 1.25 pts / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shakhtar Donetsk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Karpaty | Liga | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Karpaty 0 - 1 - 1 Shakhtar Donetsk. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Karpaty 1:2 Shakhtar Donetsk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Karpaty and Shakhtar Donetsk?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Karpaty won 0, Shakhtar Donetsk won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Karpaty score 2.75 goals per game on average and Shakhtar Donetsk 2.00. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Karpaty's matches and 25% of Shakhtar Donetsk's.
What form are Karpaty and Shakhtar Donetsk in?
Over the last 5 games Karpaty have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.