Karvan FK vs Qabala: match statistics
Karvan FK vs Qabala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karvan FK play Qabala in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Karvan FK: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Qabala: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karvan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Qabala scores 0.97 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karvan FK 48%, Qabala 45%. Over 2.5: Karvan FK 48%, Qabala 42%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Qabala has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.90. Karvan FK: 6.7 shots per match, Qabala: 10.5.
Match halves
Karvan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.33. Qabala: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Karvan FK: 31-45+ (8 goals). Qabala: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Karvan has scored 5 goals in the last 5 matches and won 2 games, averaging 1.2 points per match, while Qabala have scored only 2 goals and won none (0.4 points per match). The visitors create more chances — on average 10.19 shots and 3.44 on target with xG 1.25 versus the hosts’ 7.69 shots and 2.63 on target with xG 0.96 — but Qabala’s lower finishing efficiency (8% vs 10% Karvan) limits their effectiveness. Defensively Karvan concedes more at home (1.88 goals per match) than Qabala away (1.50), and over the season the goal figures are 21 scored and 63 conceded for Karvan versus 27–47 for Qabala, highlighting the hosts’ defensive weaknesses. In summary, Karvan’s main advantages are better form in the last 5 matches and higher shot efficiency, while Qabala have the edge in volume and quality of chances (xG); therefore I give a slight edge to the hosts, but expect a closely contested match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karvan FK | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qabala is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Karvan FK · 1.6 pts / match - Qabala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qabala is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Karvan FK · 0.97 goals / match - Qabala
Qabala is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Karvan FK · 1.48 goals / match - Qabala
Karvan FK scores in 52% of matches (17 of 33 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
Qabala scores in 55% of matches (18 of 33 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Karvan FK
Over / Under — Qabala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karvan FK is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Karvan FK · 0.94 pts / match - Qabala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karvan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karvan FK
Qabala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Karvan FK | Liga | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.70 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 31% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Karvan FK 0 - 2 - 0 Qabala. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karvan FK vs Qabala?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Karvan FK 1:2 Qabala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Karvan FK and Qabala?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Karvan FK won 0, Qabala won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Karvan FK vs Qabala?
Karvan FK score 0.70 goals per game on average and Qabala 0.97. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Karvan FK's matches and 45% of Qabala's.
What form are Karvan FK and Qabala in?
Over the last 5 games Karvan FK have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Qabala 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karvan FK vs Qabala?
The statistical background for Karvan FK vs Qabala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.