Katsina United vs Bayelsa United: match statistics
Katsina United vs Bayelsa United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Katsina United play Bayelsa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Katsina United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Bayelsa United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Katsina United scores 0.86 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Bayelsa United scores 0.97 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Katsina United 30%, Bayelsa United 47%. Over 2.5: Katsina United 22%, Bayelsa United 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Bayelsa United has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.08. Katsina United: 2.6 shots per match, Bayelsa United: 6.6.
Match halves
Katsina United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41. Bayelsa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Katsina United: 31-45+ (8 goals). Bayelsa United: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Katsina United perform better in key areas at home: they concede only 0.53 goals per home game on average and keep a clean sheet in 59% of home matches, whereas Bayelsa concede 1.18 on the road and record just 12% clean sheets away. The hosts also show superior quality of chances – average xG at home is 1.27 with 3.33 shots on target and a 15% conversion rate, while Bayelsa away have xG 1.02, 2 shots on target and 8% efficiency. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 53% of away matches and average only 0.53 goals off home soil, which makes it difficult for them to break down Katsina’s solid defence. In the last 5 matches Katsina have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 pts per game), and Bayelsa 2-0-3 (1.2 pts per game), with a goal difference contrast of +10 for the hosts versus -11 for the visitors on the road. Based on these figures I predict a home win as the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.42 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.69 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Katsina United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Katsina United · 0.6 pts / match - Bayelsa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayelsa United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Katsina United · 0.97 goals / match - Bayelsa United
Katsina United is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Katsina United · 1.11 goals / match - Bayelsa United
Katsina United scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Bayelsa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Katsina United
Over / Under — Bayelsa United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.24 pts / match - Bayelsa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.81 | 2.02 | • 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 49% | 61% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Katsina United 0 - 1 - 0 Bayelsa United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Bayelsa United?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 3:2 Bayelsa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Bayelsa United?
Katsina United score 0.86 goals per game on average and Bayelsa United 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Katsina United's matches and 47% of Bayelsa United's.
What form are Katsina United and Bayelsa United in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bayelsa United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Bayelsa United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.