Katsina United vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
Katsina United show a decided advantage in home matches with a 53% win rate and an impressive +8 goal difference at home. The hosts average 1.13 goals scored per match at home, with just 0.6 goals conceded, which translates to a 53% clean sheet rate. Shooting Stars display very poor away form with only a 13% win rate, 67% losses, and a negative -16 goal difference in away matches. The visitors average just 0.4 goals scored in away matches and fail to keep a clean sheet in 87% of games, making them highly vulnerable to losses. The recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.8 PPG for the visitors) does not change the fact that Katsina United at their home ground are decidedly stronger than Shooting Stars away. xG analysis also supports the hosts, who generate better expected goals values in home matches than the visitors in away fixtures.
Katsina United vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Katsina United played Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Katsina United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Shooting Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Katsina United scores 0.79 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Shooting Stars scores 1.07 and concedes 1.10. League average: 1.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Katsina United 31%, Shooting Stars 40%. Over 2.5: Katsina United 14%, Shooting Stars 33%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Shooting Stars has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.08. Katsina United: 3.2 shots per match, Shooting Stars: 6.6.
Match halves
Katsina United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38. Shooting Stars: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Katsina United: 31-45+ (6 goals). Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.87 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Katsina United show a decided advantage in home matches with a 53% win rate and an impressive +8 goal difference at home. The hosts average 1.13 goals scored per match at home, with just 0.6 goals conceded, which translates to a 53% clean sheet rate. Shooting Stars display very poor away form with only a 13% win rate, 67% losses, and a negative -16 goal difference in away matches. The visitors average just 0.4 goals scored in away matches and fail to keep a clean sheet in 87% of games, making them highly vulnerable to losses. The recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.8 PPG for the visitors) does not change the fact that Katsina United at their home ground are decidedly stronger than Shooting Stars away. xG analysis also supports the hosts, who generate better expected goals values in home matches than the visitors in away fixtures.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.92 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.8 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Katsina United · 1.07 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Katsina United is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Katsina United · 1.1 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Katsina United scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
Shooting Stars scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Katsina United
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Katsina United
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.66 | 1.87 | ▲ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 36% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 38% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Katsina United 0 - 1 - 0 Shooting Stars. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 1:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?
Katsina United score 0.79 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.07. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Katsina United's matches and 40% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are Katsina United and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shooting Stars 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Katsina United vs Shooting Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.