Kauno Žalgiris vs Žalgiris: match statistics
Kauno Žalgiris vs Žalgiris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kauno Žalgiris played Žalgiris in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Venue: S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Kauno Žalgiris: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Žalgiris: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kauno Žalgiris scores 2.27 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Žalgiris scores 1.33 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kauno Žalgiris 53%, Žalgiris 53%. Over 2.5: Kauno Žalgiris 73%, Žalgiris 53%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Kauno Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.54. Kauno Žalgiris: 15.5 shots per match, Žalgiris: 13.9.
Match halves
Kauno Žalgiris: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.13. Žalgiris: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Kauno Žalgiris: 76-90+ (11 goals). Žalgiris: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kauno Žalgiris has a clear offensive and home advantage: they have scored 34 goals this season versus Žalgiris’ 20, and at home they average 2.25 goals per match with 5.25 shots on target, while the visitors average 1.00 goal away with 3.29 shots on target. The hosts’ shot conversion rate is 14% versus 7% for the visitors, and the home side failed to score in only 13% of their home matches, whereas Žalgiris failed to score in 43% of their away games, which indicates a significant advantage in quality of chances for the hosts. Defensively the hosts concede 0.63 goals per home match on average and have 12 goals conceded this season, while the visitors concede 0.57 goals away on average but 18 goals in total this season and a higher average xG against (1.19 vs 0.94 for the hosts). In the last 5 matches Kauno’s record is 1-3-1 with an average of 1.2 points per game, while Žalgiris have 1-1-3 with 0.8 points per game, showing better stability and form for the hosts. Given the advantage in shots on target (5.25 vs 3.29), higher conversion (14% vs 7%) and a much lower share of matches without a goal (13% vs 43%), I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Kauno Žalgiris has a season BTTS rate of 75% and only 13% clean sheets, indicating the home side rarely finish matches without conceding; Žalgiris shows a season 29% BTTS and 57% clean sheets, but in the last 5 matches the away side have 80% BTTS and conceded 8 goals (1.6 per game). Both teams' xG are 1.53 (Kauno) and 1.56 (Žalgiris), totaling 3.09 expected goals, which suggests over 3 goals and supports a both teams to score scenario. The home team averages 1.63 scored and 1.75 conceded per season with 4.25 shots on target and 12% conversion, while the away team averages 1.0 scored and 0.57 conceded seasonally, but their last 5 matches show defensive deterioration (1.6 average goals conceded). Additionally, Kauno matches finish over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases and the league averages 2.57 goals per match, so combining high xG and recent defensive weaknesses of the away side I favor the 'BTTS - Yes' option (~72% vs 28% for 'No').
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based Poisson model yields expected goals: home 1.36 (xG_for_home 1.53 vs xG_against_away 1.19), away 1.48 (xG_for_away 1.56 vs xG_against_home 1.39), total 2.84. Poisson distribution implies probability of Over 1.5 ≈78% (P(0-1)≈22%), Over 2.5 ≈54% (P(≤2)≈46%) and Over 3.5 ≈32% (P(≤3)≈68%). Seasonal metrics reinforce this picture: Kauno Žalgiris score an average of 1.63 goals at home, have 88% of matches with over 1.5 goals, 75% BTTS and 75% home matches Over 2.5, while the visitors average 1.00 goals away and keep clean sheets in 57% of away games. The home side also display higher efficiency (12% conversion from 13.5 shots) than the visitors (7% from 14.29 shots), and in the last 5 matches the home xG was 1.76 versus the away xG of 1.21, confirming the attacking potential. Therefore the strongest signal is Over the 1.5 line: 78% from the Poisson model combined with the season-long 88% home Over 1.5 gives the largest edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics indicate that the away team holds the advantage at half-time: they lead at the break in 43% of matches and concede only 0.14 goals on average by half-time, whereas the home team lead at the break in 25% and average 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded by half-time. After the break the home side more often completes a turnaround — the home team’s second-half goal average is 1.75 versus 0.86 for the away team, and the home team have scored 3 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 1 for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of a draw. Homes also show higher efficiency (12% shot conversion versus 7% for away) and more shots on target (4.25 vs 3.29), supporting a comeback scenario after half-time. On the other hand, the away team have many draws and solid away defence (43% draws, season half-time clean sheet rate 86% and full-match clean sheet 57%), so the most probable and strongest signal from the data is the away team leading at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes (2/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kauno Žalgiris | Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kauno Žalgiris is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
2.27 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.33 goals / match - Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.2 goals / match - Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Žalgiris scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Kauno Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kauno Žalgiris
Over / Under - Žalgiris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kauno Žalgiris is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.4 pts / match - Žalgiris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kauno Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kauno Žalgiris
Žalgiris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Kauno Žalgiris | Liga | Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.07 | 2.58 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 53% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Kauno Žalgiris 3 - 1 - 1 Žalgiris. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kauno Žalgiris vs Žalgiris?
The A Lyga match finished Kauno Žalgiris 0:1 Žalgiris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kauno Žalgiris and Žalgiris?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Kauno Žalgiris won 3, Žalgiris won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kauno Žalgiris vs Žalgiris?
Kauno Žalgiris score 2.27 goals per game on average and Žalgiris 1.33. The A Lyga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kauno Žalgiris's matches and 53% of Žalgiris's.
What form are Kauno Žalgiris and Žalgiris in?
Over the last 5 games Kauno Žalgiris have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Žalgiris 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kauno Žalgiris vs Žalgiris?
The statistical background for Kauno Žalgiris vs Žalgiris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.