Kawkab Marrakech vs CR Khemis Zemamra: match statistics
Kawkab Marrakech vs CR Khemis Zemamra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kawkab Marrakech played CR Khemis Zemamra in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Kawkab Marrakech: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. CR Khemis Zemamra: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kawkab Marrakech scores 0.89 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. CR Khemis Zemamra scores 0.94 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kawkab Marrakech 50%, CR Khemis Zemamra 50%. Over 2.5: Kawkab Marrakech 33%, CR Khemis Zemamra 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Kawkab Marrakech has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.27. Kawkab Marrakech: 11.4 shots per match, CR Khemis Zemamra: 10.5.
Match halves
Kawkab Marrakech: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.39. CR Khemis Zemamra: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Kawkab Marrakech: 31-45+ (7 goals). CR Khemis Zemamra: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Kawkab Marrakech has a clear defensive advantage — at home they concede an average of 0.67 goals per match versus 1.89 conceded by CR Khemis Zemamra away, and in the last 5 matches the hosts have conceded only 2 goals compared to 5 for the visitors. The hosts are also more consistent in form: Kawkab has 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game, while the visitors have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 points per game. Offensively the numbers are similar — Kawkab score 1.22 goals at home with xG 1.35 and 10.78 shots per match, while the visitors score 1.11 goals away with xG 1.34 and 11.56 shots, with conversion rates of 11% vs 10%. A higher clean sheet percentage for the hosts (44% vs 11% on the road for the visitors) and a superior home goal difference (+5 versus -7 for the visitors away) favor Kawkab, although 44% of home matches ending in draws indicates that a points split is possible.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS comes from the home side: Kawkab have 56% clean sheets at home and concede only 0.67 goals per game on average, while their season BTTS rate is 44% (last 5 matches BTTS 40%). Visitors CR Khemis are more offensive statistically — they score 1.11 goals per game on average, have an xG of 1.34 and 3.56 shots on target per game, and their season BTTS is 56% (last 5 matches 60%), which increases their chances to score. However, the hosts’ actual effectiveness reduces the probability of both teams scoring: Kawkab have a conversion rate of 8% with xG 1.19 but actually score only 0.78 goals per game; in the last 5 matches they scored 5 and conceded 2 (averages 1.0 and 0.4), while the visitors scored 6 and conceded 5. Additionally, the league averages only 2.13 goals per game and the league season BTTS rate is 48%, so with 56% home clean sheets versus 44% home BTTS this specific match is strongly influenced by the home defense. On this basis I assess BTTS probability at 40% and No BTTS at 60%, recommending the "No" bet as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model forecasts 1.28 expected goals for Kawkab and 1.35 for CR, totaling 2.63 expected goals. This season Kawkab scores 0.78 and concedes 0.67 on average, while CR scores 1.11 and concedes 1.89; xG for both teams are 1.19 and 1.34 respectively, indicating clear attacking potential from the visitors. Season Over 1.5 rates are 44% for the home side and 89% for the away side (average 67%), and in the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 1.0 goal while the visitors averaged 1.2 goals. With lambda=2.63, the Poisson distribution yields roughly a 74% chance of Over 1.5, about 49% for Over 2.5 and about 27% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Likely to be level at half-time: the home team were level at the break in 6 matches (67%), led in 1 (11%) and trailed in 2 (22%), with an average goals at half-time of only 0.11 for Kawkab and 0.33 for CR Khemis Zemamra. After the break the home side hold the advantage – they score an average of 1.11 goals in second halves and have netted 4 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, while the visitors have a negative second-half goal difference (-2) and concede an average of 1.00 goal after the break. Over the season the visitors concede 1.89 goals per game compared to 0.67 conceded by the hosts, and xG shows 1.19 for the hosts versus 1.34 for the visitors, suggesting balanced chance creation alongside the opponents’ weaker defence. Additionally Kawkab’s last 5 matches read W D D W W with a 60% win rate, while the opponent has a 40% win rate over their last 5, confirming the hosts are in better finishing form. Therefore the most likely scenario I select is Half-Time draw and Home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kawkab Marrakech | CR Khemis Zemamra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kawkab Marrakech is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Kawkab Marrakech · 1.4 pts / match - CR Khemis Zemamra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CR Khemis Zemamra is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Kawkab Marrakech · 0.94 goals / match - CR Khemis Zemamra
Kawkab Marrakech is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - Kawkab Marrakech · 1.28 goals / match - CR Khemis Zemamra
Kawkab Marrakech scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while CR Khemis Zemamra keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
CR Khemis Zemamra scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Kawkab Marrakech keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kawkab Marrakech
Over / Under - CR Khemis Zemamra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kawkab Marrakech is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Kawkab Marrakech · 0.89 pts / match - CR Khemis Zemamra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kawkab Marrakech - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CR Khemis Zemamra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kawkab Marrakech
CR Khemis Zemamra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Kawkab Marrakech | Liga | CR Khemis Zemamra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.17 | • 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kawkab Marrakech 0 - 1 - 0 CR Khemis Zemamra. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kawkab Marrakech vs CR Khemis Zemamra?
The Botola Pro match finished Kawkab Marrakech 1:2 CR Khemis Zemamra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kawkab Marrakech vs CR Khemis Zemamra?
Kawkab Marrakech score 0.89 goals per game on average and CR Khemis Zemamra 0.94. The Botola Pro average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kawkab Marrakech's matches and 50% of CR Khemis Zemamra's.
What form are Kawkab Marrakech and CR Khemis Zemamra in?
Over the last 5 games Kawkab Marrakech have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and CR Khemis Zemamra 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kawkab Marrakech vs CR Khemis Zemamra?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.