Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe: match statistics
Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kayserispor played Fenerbahçe in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Kayserispor: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fenerbahçe: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kayserispor scores 0.75 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Fenerbahçe scores 2.21 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kayserispor 50%, Fenerbahçe 64%. Over 2.5: Kayserispor 46%, Fenerbahçe 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Fenerbahçe has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.27. Kayserispor: 11.5 shots per match, Fenerbahçe: 17.3.
Match halves
Kayserispor: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.68. Fenerbahçe: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Kayserispor: 76-90+ (9 goals). Fenerbahçe: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite: the visitors sit 2nd in the table versus Kayserispor’s 16th and have 62 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 21. Recent form supports this — in the last 5 matches Fenerbahçe scored 12 goals and won 4/5, while Kayserispor has 3 goals and a 1-1-3 record, averaging 0.8 points per game in that period (visitors 2.4). The efficiency gap is significant: at home Kayserispor averages 0.77 goals per game with a 6% conversion rate, whereas Fenerbahçe away averages 2.14 goals per game with a 15% conversion. Defensively the hosts concede 2.0 goals per home game with average xG against 1.35, while the visitors concede 1.07 away and have xG for 1.63, indicating superiority in chance quality. Additionally Fenerbahçe averages 5.36 shots on target per game versus the hosts’ 3.69 and has a lower share of goalless matches (21% vs 38%), so I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal for BTTS - Yes is the high seasonal rate: Kayserispor have 71% home matches with both teams scoring, and Fenerbahçe 57%, averaging 64% which exceeds the league BTTS average of 54%. The visitors are in strong scoring form — Fenerbahçe have 62 goals this season and 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg), with a recent xG of 1.93 per game, so they are likely to find the net. The hosts generate a lot of chances at home: xG 2.19, 19.86 shots and 7.0 shots on target per match, indicating goal potential despite only 3 goals in the last 5 matches (0.6 avg). The low clean sheet rate for the home side (29%) and the high share of matches over 2.5 goals for both teams (57% for hosts and 57% for visitors) further support a both-teams-to-score scenario, hence the selection of "Yes" with a probability of 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect around 1.70 goals for Kayserispor (attacking xG 2.19 vs xG conceded to Fenerbahçe 1.20 → average 1.70) and 1.33 for Fenerbahçe (attacking xG 1.63 vs xG conceded to Kayserispor 1.02 → 1.33), totaling ~3.03 goals. Both teams have 86% of matches over 1.5 goals this season (86% home, 86% away), which is a very strong signal for Over 1.5. The share of matches over 2.5 is 57% for each team, and additionally Fenerbahçe has averaged 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches versus 0.6 for Kayserispor, which boosts the probability of at least 3 goals (I estimate ~62% for Over 2.5). Kayserispor averages 19.86 shots and 7.0 on target with a 12% conversion, Fenerbahçe 14.64 shots and 5.36 on target with a 15% conversion, and the percentage of matches in which both teams scored is 71%/57% (home/away) — this supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Therefore I recommend the Over side at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (highest probability), while acknowledging that Over 2.5 also makes sense as a value bet (~62%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fenerbahçe is clearly in better form recently — they have won 80% of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 goals in those games, while Kayserispor have only 0.6 goals across their last five outings. The visitors have led at the break in 40% of their last five matches and have scored 5 goals in the 0–15 minute window this season versus 2 such goals for the hosts, which increases the likelihood of Fenerbahçe holding a lead at half-time. In Kayserispor’s favor is a solid home-season profile: home xG 2.19 and an average of 2.29 goals scored at home (versus the visitors’ xG 1.63) and no home defeats this season; however, their half-time form is weak — in the last 5 matches they have not been leading at the break and average only 0.4 points at HT. Considering the visitors’ strong recent run and their ability to open matches quickly, I assess the most likely scenario as the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time (2/2) at roughly a 34% probability; additionally I allow for a half-time draw with a visitors’ win (X/2 about 18%) and a moderate chance of the hosts winning both halves (1/1 about 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kayserispor | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fenerbahçe is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kayserispor · 2 pts / match - Fenerbahçe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fenerbahçe is 195% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Kayserispor · 2.21 goals / match - Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Kayserispor · 1 goals / match - Fenerbahçe
Kayserispor scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Fenerbahçe keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Fenerbahçe scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Kayserispor keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kayserispor
Over / Under - Fenerbahçe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fenerbahçe is 170% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / match - Kayserispor · 1.54 pts / match - Fenerbahçe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kayserispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fenerbahçe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kayserispor
Fenerbahçe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kayserispor | Liga | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kayserispor 0 - 0 - 1 Fenerbahçe. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?
The Süper Lig match finished Kayserispor 0:4 Fenerbahçe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?
Kayserispor score 0.75 goals per game on average and Fenerbahçe 2.21. The Süper Lig average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kayserispor's matches and 64% of Fenerbahçe's.
What form are Kayserispor and Fenerbahçe in?
Over the last 5 games Kayserispor have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fenerbahçe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.