Kazincbarcika vs MTK: match statistics
Kazincbarcika vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kazincbarcika played MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Kazincbarcika: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. MTK: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kazincbarcika scores 0.90 and concedes 2.23 goals per match. MTK scores 1.73 and concedes 1.97. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kazincbarcika 50%, MTK 67%. Over 2.5: Kazincbarcika 73%, MTK 73%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.08. Kazincbarcika: 9.1 shots per match, MTK: 13.2.
Match halves
Kazincbarcika: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.37. MTK: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Kazincbarcika: 31-45+ (6 goals). MTK: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK is the favorite: over the season the visitors scored 52 goals versus 27 for Kazincbarcika, and in the last 5 matches MTK has 7 goals compared to the hosts' 6. Offensive metrics favor MTK — averaging 1.14 goals away compared to 0.73 for the hosts at home, visitors’ xG is 1.39 versus 1.15 for the hosts, with a higher shot conversion (10% vs 7%). Form confirms the edge: MTK has 1.6 points per game in the last 5, while Kazincbarcika has only 0.6; additionally the hosts conceded 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 per game) versus 5 goals (1.0 per game) for MTK. Both teams defend poorly (Kazincbarcika concedes 2.13 goals at home, MTK 2.21 away), but the visitors’ lower percentage of games without scoring (29% vs 47%) and higher shots per game (11.7 vs 9.8) give MTK the advantage and suggest an open, high-scoring match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The forecast leans toward BTTS - Yes, as the home side has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% and the visitors 71%, versus a league average of 60%, providing a strong seasonal signal. Offensive metrics support this: Kazincbarcika produces xG 1.70 and averages 5.44 shots on target from 14.56 shots with a 15% conversion, while MTK posts xG 1.39 and 4.29 shots on target from 11.71 shots with a 10% conversion — both teams generate roughly 1.4–1.7 xG and genuine scoring opportunities. At the same time both sides are vulnerable defensively: seasonally they concede 1.75 (Kazincbarcika) and 2.21 (MTK) on average, and in the last 5 matches the home team conceded 3.0 goals on average, which increases the opponent’s scoring probability. Dampening factors include recent form over the last 5 games, where both teams’ BTTS rates dropped to 40%, and MTK has 29% of season matches without scoring, so absolute certainty is not achievable. Considering seasonal BTTS 63%/71%, xG 1.70 vs 1.39 and high average goals conceded, I estimate the probability of BTTS at ~70% for and ~30% against and recommend a 'Yes' tip.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive analysis indicates high goal potential: attacking xG is 1.70 for Kazincbarcika and 1.39 for MTK, while xG against is 1.64 (Kazincbarcika) and 2.05 (MTK), so the attack/defense average yields expected goals of 1.88 for the home side and 1.51 for the visitors (total 3.39). With this total (lambda ≈ 3.39) a Poisson distribution gives roughly an 85% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~66% for Over 2.5 and ~44% for Over 3.5. Seasonal indicators confirm the offensive trend: Kazincbarcika has Over2.5 in 75% of matches, MTK in 71%, and BTTS is 63% and 71% respectively, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Additionally, the hosts average 5.44 shots on target versus 4.29 for the visitors and have a conversion rate of 15% vs 10%, which supports a scoring scenario. In summary, the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (≈85%), while Over 2.5 also looks attractive as a value bet (≈66%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team has a clear seasonal advantage: they average 2.25 goals per game versus 1.14 for the away side, home xG is 1.70 versus 1.39 for guests, and average shots on target are 5.44 vs 4.29; this translates into 44% home wins versus 14% away wins and an average of 1.5 points per game for hosts compared to 0.79 for visitors. At half-time the hosts score an average of 0.88 goals and the guests 0.36, and hosts lead at the break in 31% of matches versus 14% for away teams, which suggests a higher probability of the home side holding a lead at half-time. At the same time both teams frequently score (both teams to score occurs in 63% of home matches and 71% of away matches) and the visitors are in better form over the last five matches (40% wins vs 20% for hosts), so the risk of a turnaround is not zero. Considering the higher xG, number of shots and conversion rate (15% vs 10%), the safest signal is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time (1/1) — I assign this scenario a 25% probability, with a significant second variant being a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1) at 18%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kazincbarcika | MTK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MTK is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Kazincbarcika · 1.6 pts / match - MTK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Kazincbarcika · 1.73 goals / match - MTK
MTK is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.23 goals / match - Kazincbarcika · 1.97 goals / match - MTK
Kazincbarcika scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
MTK scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Kazincbarcika keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kazincbarcika
Over / Under - MTK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MTK is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Kazincbarcika · 0.97 pts / match - MTK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kazincbarcika - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -21 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kazincbarcika
MTK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Kazincbarcika | Liga | MTK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 59% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 87% | 87% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kazincbarcika 2 - 0 - 0 MTK. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kazincbarcika vs MTK?
The NB I match finished Kazincbarcika 0:0 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kazincbarcika and MTK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kazincbarcika won 2, MTK won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kazincbarcika vs MTK?
Kazincbarcika score 0.90 goals per game on average and MTK 1.73. The NB I average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kazincbarcika's matches and 67% of MTK's.
What form are Kazincbarcika and MTK in?
Over the last 5 games Kazincbarcika have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and MTK 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kazincbarcika vs MTK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.