Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 19 October 2026

KCCA vs UPDF: match statistics

Reasoning:

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KCCA vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KCCA play UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 22 October 2026.

Current form

KCCA: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. UPDF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

KCCA scores 0.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.67 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KCCA 0%, UPDF 33%. Over 2.5: KCCA 0%, UPDF 33%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

KCCA has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.24. KCCA: 11.7 shots per match, UPDF: 7.0.

Match halves

KCCA: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. UPDF: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

KCCA: 46-60 (2 goals). UPDF: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.67Goals scored / match0.67
KCCAUPDF
0.67Goals conceded / match0.83
KCCAUPDF
60%Average possession44%
KCCAUPDF
4.67Shots on target / match3.33
KCCAUPDF

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match7
KCCAUPDF
4.67Shots on target3.33
KCCAUPDF
5.7%Shot conversion9.5%
KCCAUPDF
60%Possession44%
KCCAUPDF
1.75xG for1.24
KCCAUPDF
1.06xG against1.33
KCCAUPDF

Shooting quality

KCCA: BalancedUPDF: Balanced
KCCAUPDF
Accuracy (shots on target)40%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KCCA is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - KCCA · 1.4 pts / match - UPDF

KCCA
LDWWW
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
UPDF
LDWWL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KCCA is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - KCCA · 0.83 goals / match - UPDF

KCCA scoring profile: mixed

KCCA scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

UPDF scoring profile: more difficult

UPDF scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).

4Goals scored (season)4
KCCAUPDF
4Goals conceded (season)5
KCCAUPDF
1.33Average goals in match1.5
KCCAUPDF
4Goals scored (last 5)4
KCCAUPDF
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
KCCAUPDF

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
KCCAUPDF
17%2 goals17%
KCCAUPDF
0%3 goals0%
KCCAUPDF
0%4 goals0%
KCCAUPDF

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal50%
KCCAUPDF
33%2 goals33%
KCCAUPDF
0%3 goals0%
KCCAUPDF
0%4 goals0%
KCCAUPDF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
KCCAUPDF
0%BTTS in both halves0%
KCCAUPDF
17%Scored in both halves0%
KCCAUPDF

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
KCCAUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KCCAUPDF
0%BTTS - last 540%
KCCAUPDF

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
KCCAUPDF
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
KCCAUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
KCCAUPDF

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
KCCAUPDF
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
KCCAUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
KCCAUPDF

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

UPDF is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - KCCA · 1.67 pts / match - UPDF

KCCA - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
UPDF - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.67
KCCAUPDF
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.67
KCCAUPDF
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
KCCAUPDF
0.33Average goals (1st half)0.83
KCCAUPDF
83%Clean sheet before half-time83%
KCCAUPDF
83%No goal before half-time50%
KCCAUPDF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)0.5
KCCAUPDF
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0
KCCAUPDF
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
KCCAUPDF
1Average goals (2nd half)0.67
KCCAUPDF
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
KCCAUPDF
50%No goal after half-time100%
KCCAUPDF

KCCA - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UPDF - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KCCA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
UPDF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KCCA
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

UPDF
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
66%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+147%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KCCA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

UPDF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

KCCALigaUPDF
Average goals in match▼ 1.332.14▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▼ 0%35%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%39%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 67%40%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%57%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%69%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.14
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.06
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): KCCA 2 - 0 - 0 UPDF. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do KCCA and UPDF play?

KCCA face UPDF on 22 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between KCCA and UPDF?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches KCCA won 2, UPDF won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before KCCA vs UPDF?

KCCA score 0.67 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.67. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 0% of KCCA's matches and 33% of UPDF's.

What form are KCCA and UPDF in?

Over the last 5 games KCCA have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and UPDF 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCCA vs UPDF?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.