Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kedus Giorgis play Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 26 June 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 32%, Fasil Ketema 26%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 24%, Fasil Ketema 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.14. Kedus Giorgis: 8.0 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 7.2.
Match halves
Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Kedus Giorgis appears the favorite due to a clear advantage in form and home metrics. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 4 wins and 1 draw (PPG 2.6) with 7 goals scored, while Fasil Ketema recorded 3 wins and 2 losses (PPG 1.8) also with 7 goals. At home Kedus averages 1.00 goals scored and concedes only 0.61 per match, has xG 1.23 versus xG against 1.00 and a home goal difference of +7, whereas Fasil away posts 0.72 scored and 0.72 conceded (xG 1.14 vs 1.10) and a neutral goal balance. The hosts generate more shots (8.12 vs 7.29) and higher SOT (2.76 vs 2.18) with better conversion (12% vs 10%), and less frequently finish matches goalless (FTS 33% vs 44%). Given these offensive parameters and the hosts’ defensive stability, I rate them with a higher probability of victory, although the visitors’ solid defense (61% clean sheets on the road) keeps a draw as a realistic outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kedus Giorgis | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kedus Giorgis is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kedus Giorgis
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kedus Giorgis
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kedus Giorgis | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kedus Giorgis 0 - 0 - 1 Fasil Ketema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 1:0 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?
Kedus Giorgis score 0.89 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 26% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Kedus Giorgis and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?
The statistical background for Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.