Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema presents significantly better form and statistics than Kedus Giorgis. The hosts occupy only 13th place in the table and have not secured a single victory in their last 5 matches, earning just 0.4 points per match. The visitors, from 3rd place in the league, have an impressive streak - 3 wins in the last 5 meetings and 2 points per match. Negele Arsi Ketema shows a 50% win rate away from home and 50% clean sheets, which, given the hosts' weak offense (only 1 goal in the last 5 matches), constitutes a huge advantage. Higher shot conversion (15% vs 11%) and better offensive form (5 goals in the last 5 matches vs 1) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema is the most likely scenario.
Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kedus Giorgis played Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Kedus Giorgis: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kedus Giorgis scores 0.80 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.05 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 30%, Negele Arsi Ketema 33%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 15%, Negele Arsi Ketema 24%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.16. Kedus Giorgis: 9.3 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.0.
Match halves
Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.30. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (5 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.74 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema presents significantly better form and statistics than Kedus Giorgis. The hosts occupy only 13th place in the table and have not secured a single victory in their last 5 matches, earning just 0.4 points per match. The visitors, from 3rd place in the league, have an impressive streak - 3 wins in the last 5 meetings and 2 points per match. Negele Arsi Ketema shows a 50% win rate away from home and 50% clean sheets, which, given the hosts' weak offense (only 1 goal in the last 5 matches), constitutes a huge advantage. Higher shot conversion (15% vs 11%) and better offensive form (5 goals in the last 5 matches vs 1) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kedus Giorgis | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 2 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.05 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Negele Arsi Ketema is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.67 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Kedus Giorgis scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.62 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kedus Giorgis
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kedus Giorgis | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.65 | 1.74 | • 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 41% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 - 0 Negele Arsi Ketema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 0:0 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Kedus Giorgis score 0.80 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.05. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 33% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Kedus Giorgis and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kedus Giorgis vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.