Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kelty Hearts played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Kelty Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cove Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kelty Hearts scores 0.88 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 1.15 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kelty Hearts 56%, Cove Rangers 44%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 53%, Cove Rangers 44%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Cove Rangers has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.00. Kelty Hearts: 7.3 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 8.7.
Match halves
Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (7 goals). Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (Cove Rangers). Kelty Hearts average only 0.65 goals per home match and have failed to score in 53% of their home games, whereas Cove average 1.29 goals away with FTS at 41%. In the last 5 matches Kelty have scored 6 and conceded 6, while Cove have scored 7 and conceded 7, both averaging 1.4 points per game in that period. The decisive advantage for the visitors is efficiency — Cove have a conversion rate of 17% versus Kelty’s 8% — and better defense (Kelty concede 1.82 goals at home vs. 1.47 conceded by Cove away). xG confirms Kelty generate about 1.05 xG at home but only convert 0.65 goals, whereas Cove have 1.11 xG and convert it to a greater extent (1.29 goals), which supports an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because both teams show defensive vulnerabilities: Kelty Hearts have conceded 60 goals this season (avg 1.12 per game) and Cove Rangers 44 goals (avg 1.47 per game). Seasonal BTTS rates are 41% for Kelty and 47% for Cove (avg 44%), and in the last 5 matches Kelty had BTTS in 60% of games, Cove in 40% — short-form average is 50% BTTS. xG metrics show Kelty creates 1.24 xG with 1.22 xG against, while Cove posts 1.11 xG with 1.43 xG against, indicating both sides generate chances and Cove is defensively exposed. Additionally, clean sheet rates are only 24% for Kelty and 18% for Cove, so in the majority of matches (76% and 82%) they concede, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering recent 5-game goal averages (Kelty 1.2 scored/1.2 conceded, Cove 1.4 scored/1.4 conceded) and low clean sheet percentages, I assign 62% probability to Yes and 38% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG is 2.35 (Kelty 1.24 vs Cove 1.11), suggesting around 2–3 goals — below 2.5 but clearly above 1.5. Season stats show Kelty had Over 1.5 in 59% of matches and Cove in 76% — average 67.5% (~68%), which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line has less support: Kelty Over 2.5 in 35% of matches, Cove in 53% (average 44%), and in the last 5 matches both teams produced Over 2.5 in only 40% of cases, so Under 2.5 has the edge. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (seasonal 18% for Kelty and 29% for Cove; Kelty scored 4+ goals in 0% of matches), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most probable scenario is a half-time draw and an away win (X/2): the hosts were level at the break in 9 home matches (53%), and in Kelty Hearts’ last 5 fixtures a half-time draw occurred 4 times (80%). Cove Rangers are stronger after the break — they average 0.94 goals in the second half versus 0.47 for the hosts, have a positive second-half goal difference of +4 (vs -2 for Kelty) and win second halves in 38% of cases (vs 28% for the hosts). Although xG favors the home side 1.24 to 1.11, the visitors convert chances better (shot conversion 17% vs 11%), which increases their likelihood of scoring after the break. Considering a 53% chance of a half-time draw for Kelty and Cove’s second-half advantage, I assign X/2 the highest probability (28%), with the remaining risk distributed across draws and smaller chances for home wins.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cove Rangers is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.15 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.29 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Kelty Hearts scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Cove Rangers scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cove Rangers is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.18 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kelty Hearts
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 - 2 Cove Rangers. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:2 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Cove Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 1, Cove Rangers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?
Kelty Hearts score 0.88 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.15. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 44% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cove Rangers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?
The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.