Kelty Hearts vs East Fife: match statistics
East Fife seems to have the upper hand in this matchup despite weaker form in their last five matches. Kelty Hearts exhibits a disastrous home disposition - zero home wins this season, a 64% loss rate, and a mere 0.43 goals scored on average per game. The visitors boast better shooting efficiency (10% shot conversion vs 6%) and a higher xG (1.11 vs 1.0), indicating greater attacking effectiveness. Although East Fife also struggles defensively and loses 62% of their away games, their 23% away win rate and a higher average of goals scored (0.85 vs 0.43) give them a realistic chance of success. Considering Kelty Hearts' fatal streak and the visitors' slight but noticeable qualitative advantage, an East Fife win is the most probable scenario, though a draw remains in play due to the vulnerabilities of both sides.
Kelty Hearts vs East Fife: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kelty Hearts played East Fife in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kelty Hearts: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. East Fife: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kelty Hearts scores 0.82 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. East Fife scores 0.93 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kelty Hearts 54%, East Fife 46%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 57%, East Fife 54%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
East Fife has higher xG: 1.19 vs 0.99. Kelty Hearts: 7.1 shots per match, East Fife: 8.9.
Match halves
Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.36. East Fife: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (7 goals). East Fife: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Fife seems to have the upper hand in this matchup despite weaker form in their last five matches. Kelty Hearts exhibits a disastrous home disposition - zero home wins this season, a 64% loss rate, and a mere 0.43 goals scored on average per game. The visitors boast better shooting efficiency (10% shot conversion vs 6%) and a higher xG (1.11 vs 1.0), indicating greater attacking effectiveness. Although East Fife also struggles defensively and loses 62% of their away games, their 23% away win rate and a higher average of goals scored (0.85 vs 0.43) give them a realistic chance of success. Considering Kelty Hearts' fatal streak and the visitors' slight but noticeable qualitative advantage, an East Fife win is the most probable scenario, though a draw remains in play due to the vulnerabilities of both sides.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Fife is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.93 goals / match - East Fife
East Fife is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.75 goals / match - East Fife
Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while East Fife keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
East Fife scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - East Fife
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kelty Hearts is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.57 pts / match - East Fife
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
East Fife - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kelty Hearts
East Fife
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.62 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 47% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 - 2 East Fife. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs East Fife?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 1:1 East Fife. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and East Fife?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 1, East Fife won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs East Fife?
Kelty Hearts score 0.82 goals per game on average and East Fife 0.93. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 46% of East Fife's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and East Fife in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and East Fife 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs East Fife?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kelty Hearts vs East Fife: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.