Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead: match statistics
Kelty Hearts are displaying disastrous home form with a 0% win rate and 75% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 home matches, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game while scoring only 0.42. Peterhead, despite their away difficulties, boasts significantly better offensive statistics (0.91 goals per away match) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 6%). The visitors also have an advantage in ball possession (51% vs 49%) and a lower rate of goalless matches (36% vs 67%). Although Peterhead concedes a lot of goals away from home (2.09 on average), given the hosts' weak offensive performance, they have a realistic chance of securing points. The 13-point difference in the table and the advantage in head-to-head effectiveness speak in favor of an away win.
Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kelty Hearts played Peterhead in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kelty Hearts: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Peterhead: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kelty Hearts scores 0.87 and concedes 2.09 goals per match. Peterhead scores 1.41 and concedes 1.95. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kelty Hearts 52%, Peterhead 64%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 65%, Peterhead 77%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Peterhead has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.97. Kelty Hearts: 6.8 shots per match, Peterhead: 9.6.
Match halves
Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.35. Peterhead: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (6 goals). Peterhead: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kelty Hearts are displaying disastrous home form with a 0% win rate and 75% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 home matches, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game while scoring only 0.42. Peterhead, despite their away difficulties, boasts significantly better offensive statistics (0.91 goals per away match) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 6%). The visitors also have an advantage in ball possession (51% vs 49%) and a lower rate of goalless matches (36% vs 67%). Although Peterhead concedes a lot of goals away from home (2.09 on average), given the hosts' weak offensive performance, they have a realistic chance of securing points. The 13-point difference in the table and the advantage in head-to-head effectiveness speak in favor of an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peterhead is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.41 goals / match - Peterhead
Peterhead is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.09 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.95 goals / match - Peterhead
Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Peterhead keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
Peterhead scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Peterhead
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peterhead is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.27 pts / match - Peterhead
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peterhead - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kelty Hearts
Peterhead
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 31% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 - 2 Peterhead. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 1:1 Peterhead. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Peterhead?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Peterhead won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?
Kelty Hearts score 0.87 goals per game on average and Peterhead 1.41. The League One average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 64% of Peterhead's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Peterhead in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Peterhead 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?
The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.