Scotland - League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead: match statistics

Kelty Hearts crest
Kelty Hearts
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Peterhead crest
Peterhead
125%(3.05)
X30%(3.25)
245%(2.00)

Kelty Hearts are displaying disastrous home form with a 0% win rate and 75% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 home matches, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game while scoring only 0.42. Peterhead, despite their away difficulties, boasts significantly better offensive statistics (0.91 goals per away match) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 6%). The visitors also have an advantage in ball possession (51% vs 49%) and a lower rate of goalless matches (36% vs 67%). Although Peterhead concedes a lot of goals away from home (2.09 on average), given the hosts' weak offensive performance, they have a realistic chance of securing points. The 13-point difference in the table and the advantage in head-to-head effectiveness speak in favor of an away win.

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kelty Hearts play Peterhead in League One (Scotland). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Kelty Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Peterhead: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kelty Hearts scores 0.89 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Peterhead scores 1.33 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kelty Hearts 53%, Peterhead 67%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 50%, Peterhead 67%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Peterhead has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.01. Kelty Hearts: 7.5 shots per match, Peterhead: 9.2.

Match halves

Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50. Peterhead: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Kelty Hearts: 76-90+ (8 goals). Peterhead: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Match description

Kelty Hearts are displaying disastrous home form with a 0% win rate and 75% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 home matches, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game while scoring only 0.42. Peterhead, despite their away difficulties, boasts significantly better offensive statistics (0.91 goals per away match) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 6%). The visitors also have an advantage in ball possession (51% vs 49%) and a lower rate of goalless matches (36% vs 67%). Although Peterhead concedes a lot of goals away from home (2.09 on average), given the hosts' weak offensive performance, they have a realistic chance of securing points. The 13-point difference in the table and the advantage in head-to-head effectiveness speak in favor of an away win.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
10Shots7
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
4Shots on target4
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
1.34xG1.04
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
4Corners6
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
57Dangerous attacks42
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
16Fouls17
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
3Cards1
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kelty HeartsPeterhead
0.89Goals scored / match1.33
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
1.72Goals conceded / match1.78
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
49%Average possession51%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
3.58Shots on target / match3.72
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.47Shots per match9.17
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
3.58Shots on target3.72
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
11.9%Shot conversion14.5%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
49%Possession51%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
1.01xG for1.17
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
1.46xG against1.2
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: BalancedPeterhead: Efficient finishing
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
Accuracy (shots on target)48%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kelty Hearts is 600% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.2 pts / match - Peterhead

Kelty Hearts
DWLLW
Season result split
17% W28% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-10-20
0.78 pts / match · goal difference -30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-7-10
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Peterhead
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W19% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-17
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-10
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Peterhead is 49% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.33 goals / match - Peterhead

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Peterhead keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 36 matches).

Peterhead scoring profile: very strong

Peterhead scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).

32Goals scored (season)48
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
62Goals conceded (season)64
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
2.61Average goals in match3.11
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal75%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
25%2 goals39%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
3%3 goals17%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
0%4 goals3%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal92%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
53%2 goals50%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
25%3 goals25%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
6%4 goals11%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time28%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
11%Scored in both halves33%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
40%BTTS - last 560%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Peterhead is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.97 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.22 pts / match - Peterhead

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
19% leading39% draw42% trailing
Peterhead - half-time state
31% leading31% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.97Points per match (1st half)1.22
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
0.81Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.44
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
39%Clean sheet before half-time36%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
67%No goal before half-time50%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)1.06
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
36%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead
61%No goal after half-time42%
Kelty HeartsPeterhead

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

22% W31% R47% P
35
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Peterhead - second-half results

25% W31% R44% P
44
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Peterhead - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.40
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
7
8
16-30
4
11
31-45
6
13
46-60
4
9
61-75
8
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Peterhead
ScoredConceded
8
9
0-15
11
11
16-30
6
7
31-45
10
12
46-60
5
9
61-75
8
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Peterhead

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.99
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaPeterhead
Average goals in match 2.612.62 3.11
Both teams scored 53%50% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%49% 67%
Clean sheets 14%28% 8%
Goal before half-time 75%73% 86%
Goal after half-time 83%83% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 - 2 Peterhead. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?

The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 1:1 Peterhead. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Peterhead?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 1, Peterhead won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?

Kelty Hearts score 0.89 goals per game on average and Peterhead 1.33. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 67% of Peterhead's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Peterhead in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Peterhead 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?

The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.