Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Kitara vs Calvary: match statistics

Kitara crest
Kitara
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Calvary crest
Calvary

Kitara vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kitara play Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 22 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Kitara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kitara scores 1.38 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kitara 38%, Calvary 21%. Over 2.5: Kitara 31%, Calvary 17%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Kitara has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.18. Kitara: 11.3 shots per match, Calvary: 3.6.

Match halves

Kitara: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.48. Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21.

Goals by minute

Kitara: 0-15 (12 goals). Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Kitara has a clear advantage at home: they have won 80% of home matches, score on average 2.1 goals and concede only 0.5 goals per game, giving a home goal difference of +16. Calvary have no away wins (0%), lose 91% of away fixtures, score 0.36 goals per game and fail to score in 73% of matches. In opportunity quality the hosts register 10.4 shots (4.8 on target) with a 20% conversion and have home xG 1.46 versus xG against 1.3, while the visitors average 8.3 shots (2.6 on target), a 5% conversion and xG for 1.14 on the road. Form also favours Kitara: in the last 5 matches the hosts collected 8 points (1.6 ppg) with a 2-2-1 record and goals 6:2, while Calvary have 4 points (0.8 ppg) with a 1-1-3 record and goals 3:7. Therefore I expect a home win and assess the probabilities at 82% for Kitara, 11% for a draw and 7% for the visitors.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
KitaraCalvary
30Shots8
KitaraCalvary
6Shots on target4
KitaraCalvary
3.28xG1.19
KitaraCalvary
9Corners1
KitaraCalvary
134Dangerous attacks53
KitaraCalvary
-1Fouls-1
KitaraCalvary
-1Cards-1
KitaraCalvary

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.38Goals scored / match0.48
KitaraCalvary
0.72Goals conceded / match1.24
KitaraCalvary
46%Average possession20%
KitaraCalvary
4.69Shots on target / match0.79
KitaraCalvary

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.31Shots per match3.62
KitaraCalvary
4.69Shots on target0.79
KitaraCalvary
12.2%Shot conversion13.3%
KitaraCalvary
46%Possession20%
KitaraCalvary
1.65xG for1.18
KitaraCalvary
1.31xG against1.86
KitaraCalvary

Shooting quality

Kitara: Counter-attackingCalvary: Counter-attacking
KitaraCalvary
Accuracy (shots on target)41%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.33
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.61

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Calvary is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Kitara · 1.6 pts / match - Calvary

Kitara
WLLDD
Season result split
55% W24% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-6
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Calvary
LWDDW
Season result split
14% W31% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-9-16
0.72 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-11
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kitara is 188% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Kitara · 0.48 goals / match - Calvary

Kitara is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.72 goals / match - Kitara · 1.24 goals / match - Calvary

Kitara scoring profile: strong

Kitara scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).

Calvary scoring profile: more difficult

Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).

40Goals scored (season)14
KitaraCalvary
21Goals conceded (season)36
KitaraCalvary
2.1Average goals in match1.72
KitaraCalvary
7Goals scored (last 5)4
KitaraCalvary
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
KitaraCalvary

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal34%
KitaraCalvary
41%2 goals14%
KitaraCalvary
14%3 goals0%
KitaraCalvary
7%4 goals0%
KitaraCalvary

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal62%
KitaraCalvary
14%2 goals28%
KitaraCalvary
3%3 goals17%
KitaraCalvary
0%4 goals14%
KitaraCalvary

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
KitaraCalvary
3%BTTS in both halves0%
KitaraCalvary
21%Scored in both halves3%
KitaraCalvary

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
KitaraCalvary
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
KitaraCalvary
60%BTTS - last 520%
KitaraCalvary

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time48%
KitaraCalvary
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
KitaraCalvary
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
KitaraCalvary

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time41%
KitaraCalvary
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
KitaraCalvary
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
KitaraCalvary

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitara is 154% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.93 pts / match - Kitara · 0.76 pts / match - Calvary

Kitara - half-time state
55% leading28% draw17% trailing
Calvary - half-time state
7% leading55% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.93Points per match (1st half)0.76
KitaraCalvary
0.9Goals scored (1st half)0.21
KitaraCalvary
0.34Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
KitaraCalvary
1.24Average goals (1st half)0.86
KitaraCalvary
76%Clean sheet before half-time59%
KitaraCalvary
38%No goal before half-time83%
KitaraCalvary

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.03
KitaraCalvary
0.48Goals scored (2nd half)0.21
KitaraCalvary
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
KitaraCalvary
0.86Average goals (2nd half)0.66
KitaraCalvary
62%Clean sheet after half-time69%
KitaraCalvary
66%No goal after half-time83%
KitaraCalvary

Kitara - second-half results

21% W59% R21% P
56
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Calvary - second-half results

14% W62% R24% P
22
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kitara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Calvary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.00.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kitara
ScoredConceded
12
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
12
4
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
6
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
5
10
0-15
0
8
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
26%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kitara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

KitaraLigaCalvary
Average goals in match 2.102.09 1.72
Both teams scored 38%38% 21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%35% 17%
Clean sheets 45%39% 38%
Goal before half-time 76%59% 48%
Goal after half-time 55%62% 41%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kitara 1 - 0 - 0 Calvary. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Kitara vs Calvary?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Kitara 0:0 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs Calvary?

Kitara score 1.38 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.48. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Kitara's matches and 21% of Calvary's.

What form are Kitara and Calvary in?

Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Calvary 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs Calvary?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.