Kitara vs Police Uganda: match statistics
Kitara vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kitara play Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Kitara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kitara scores 1.38 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kitara 38%, Police Uganda 63%. Over 2.5: Kitara 31%, Police Uganda 53%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Kitara has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.54. Kitara: 11.3 shots per match, Police Uganda: 10.5.
Match halves
Kitara: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.48. Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Kitara: 0-15 (12 goals). Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (Kitara) because they win 69% of home matches and keep 62% clean sheets at home. The hosts concede on average 0.46 goals per home match versus 1.57 conceded by Police Uganda away, which gives Kitara a clear defensive edge. Offensively the teams are similar (38 goals scored by Kitara vs 40 by Police this season, both with 4 goals in the last 5 matches), but Kitara generates higher expected goals xG at home (1.69 vs 1.53 for Police away) and produces more shots on target (5.31 vs 3.5). Recent form slightly weakens the hosts — Kitara has not won any of their last 5 matches and averages 0.6 points per game in that span, while Police have 1 win and average 0.8 points per game — yet the defensive differences and quality of chances favor Kitara. In summary, home defensive advantage and better chance quality lead me to estimate probabilities of 65% for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 15% for the away side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kitara | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Kitara · 1.2 goals / match - Police Uganda
Kitara scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kitara
Over / Under — Police Uganda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.93 pts / match - Kitara · 1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kitara
Police Uganda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kitara | Liga | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kitara 1 - 0 - 0 Police Uganda. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kitara vs Police Uganda?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Kitara 2:2 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs Police Uganda?
Kitara score 1.38 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Kitara's matches and 63% of Police Uganda's.
What form are Kitara and Police Uganda in?
Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Police Uganda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs Police Uganda?
The statistical background for Kitara vs Police Uganda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.