Kitara vs URA: match statistics
Kitara is in outstanding form, having won all of their last five matches and occupying second place in the table with 11 wins this season. The hosts are exceptionally effective at home, winning 86% of their home matches while conceding only 0.57 goals per game on average and boasting an impressive goal difference of 22:10. URA is in a dire situation, occupying 14th place with just two wins this season and a disastrous away form – zero away wins, failing to score in 86% of their away matches, and averaging only 0.14 goals per away game. The disparity in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability is vast, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Kitara a decisive edge. Considering all statistics, a home win appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Kitara vs URA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kitara played URA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 19 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kitara: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. URA: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kitara scores 1.47 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. URA scores 0.81 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kitara 33%, URA 31%. Over 2.5: Kitara 33%, URA 25%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Kitara has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.63. Kitara: 10.9 shots per match, URA: 11.5.
Match halves
Kitara: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.53. URA: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Kitara: 0-15 (8 goals). URA: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kitara is in outstanding form, having won all of their last five matches and occupying second place in the table with 11 wins this season. The hosts are exceptionally effective at home, winning 86% of their home matches while conceding only 0.57 goals per game on average and boasting an impressive goal difference of 22:10. URA is in a dire situation, occupying 14th place with just two wins this season and a disastrous away form – zero away wins, failing to score in 86% of their away matches, and averaging only 0.14 goals per away game. The disparity in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability is vast, which, combined with the home advantage, gives Kitara a decisive edge. Considering all statistics, a home win appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kitara | URA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kitara is 400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Kitara · 0.6 pts / match - URA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Kitara · 0.81 goals / match - URA
Kitara is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Kitara · 1.06 goals / match - URA
Kitara scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
URA scores in 31% of matches (5 of 16 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitara
Over / Under - URA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.2 pts / match - Kitara · 1.06 pts / match - URA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
URA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kitara
URA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kitara | Liga | URA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.13 | 2.16 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kitara 1 - 0 - 0 URA. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kitara vs URA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Kitara 1:1 URA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs URA?
Kitara score 1.47 goals per game on average and URA 0.81. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kitara's matches and 31% of URA's.
What form are Kitara and URA in?
Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and URA 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs URA?
The statistical background for Kitara vs URA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.