Kitayosce vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Kitayosce vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kitayosce played Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Venue: Namfua Football Ground. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Kitayosce: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match. Mbeya City: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kitayosce scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kitayosce 75%, Mbeya City 25%. Over 2.5: Kitayosce 25%, Mbeya City 25%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Kitayosce has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.39. Kitayosce: 7.5 shots per match, Mbeya City: 8.0.
Match halves
Kitayosce: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Mbeya City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Kitayosce: 0-15 (1 goals). Mbeya City: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mbeya City sit in 3rd place, having won 3 of their 4 matches so far and collected 10 points from their last five games, while Kitayosce are 13th with just 2 points and no wins. The hosts have scored only 3 goals in 4 matches and are yet to find the net at home, despite averaging 1.33 xG. Mbeya City have won every away match, averaging 2 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 100% of such appearances. The visitors also create more high-quality chances, recording away xG of 1.59 compared with Kitayosce’s 1.33 xG at home, while their shot conversion rate stands at 22%. The hosts’ defence is not particularly leaky, but their lack of attacking efficiency and Mbeya City’s perfect away record strongly point towards an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Mbeya City’s defense, which has not conceded a goal in the season data, keeping a clean sheet in 100% of matches. Kitayosce have averaged just 0.6 goals over their last five games and failed to score in 33% of their matches this season. At the same time, the visitors have been effective in attack, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match and recording 4.0 shots on target compared with 2.0 for the hosts. Therefore, a win for the visitors with a clean sheet is more realistic than a goalless draw. BTTS has occurred in just 0% of Mbeya City’s matches and 33% of Kitayosce’s, well below the league average of 53%. Although Kitayosce’s latest xG stands at 1.56, the visitors’ solid defense and average of just 0.4 goals conceded across their last five appearances limit the hosts’ chances of scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The latest results point to a low-scoring game: Kitayosce have averaged 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches, while Mbeya City have conceded just 0.4 goals per game during this period. In the teams’ last five appearances, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in only 20% of cases, while Mbeya City recorded 2 clean-sheet wins in the seasonal data. However, the hosts have a created xG of 1.56 and a conceded xG of 1.54, giving the visitors a realistic chance of scoring around 1 goal, but not suggesting an open game. Across all available data for both teams, every match finished below 3.5 goals, making Under 3.5 the strongest pick with a projected total of 1.75 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Mbeya City win in the match, as the visitors have been level at the break in 100% of their league matches so far, without conceding a single goal in the first half. In their last five matches, both teams had a draw at half-time in 60% of cases, but Mbeya City conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in those games, compared with 0.6 for Kitayosce. After the break, the visitors score an average of 2.0 goals and keep a clean sheet, while the hosts score 1.0 goal but concede 0.33. Current form clearly favours Mbeya City: they have won 60% of their last five matches and scored an average of 1.2 goals, whereas Kitayosce have not won any of their matches, scoring 0.6 goals and conceding 1.0 on average. The visitors also have an attacking quality advantage, recording an average xG of 1.59 compared with 1.32 for the hosts, as well as 4 shots on target per match compared with 2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kitayosce | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mbeya City is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Kitayosce · 2.25 pts / match - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mbeya City is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Kitayosce · 1.5 goals / match - Mbeya City
Mbeya City is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Kitayosce · 0.5 goals / match - Mbeya City
Kitayosce scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Mbeya City scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Kitayosce keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitayosce
Over / Under - Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitayosce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kitayosce
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Kitayosce | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 42% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kitayosce 0 - 1 - 1 Mbeya City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Kitayosce 0:0 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kitayosce and Mbeya City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kitayosce won 0, Mbeya City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
Kitayosce score 0.75 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 1.50. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Kitayosce's matches and 25% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Kitayosce and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Kitayosce have a 0-2-2 record (0.50 points per game) and Mbeya City 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.