Klubi-04 vs KTP: match statistics

KTP lead the table, while Klubi-04 sit in 9th place, and the full-season record clearly favors the visitors: 11 wins compared with just 2 for the hosts. Away from home, KTP win 63% of their matches and lose only 13%, whereas Klubi-04 have lost 63% of their home fixtures, winning just 13%. The visitors create more chances, averaging 15.38 shots and 4.63 shots on target per match, with an xG of 1.69, compared with the hosts’ 10 shots, 3.38 on target and xG of 1.32. Klubi-04 score just 0.75 goals per home game and have failed to find the net in 50% of such matches, while KTP keep a clean sheet in 63% of their away fixtures. Recent attacking form also favors the league leaders: KTP have scored 12 goals in their last five matches, three times as many as Klubi-04’s 4.

The BTTS - No scenario is slightly more likely, primarily due to Klubi-04’s poor current scoring form: the team has scored only 4 goals in its last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 per game. During this period, BTTS occurred in just 20% of the home team’s matches, while KTP kept a clean sheet in as many as 63% of the entire season. KTP should also have good chances of scoring, as they have averaged 2.4 goals over their last 5 fixtures, while Klubi-04 has conceded 1.6 goals per match during the same period. The hosts have recently created chances worth 1.48 xG, but KTP’s defense has a season-low rate of 1.13 goals conceded per game, increasing the risk that at least one side will fail to score.

The strongest signal points to the under 3.5 goals line: this outcome occurred in 67% of Klubi-04 matches and as many as 75% of KTP fixtures. KTP have a very solid defense, keeping a clean sheet in 63% of matches and conceding just 1.13 goals on average, which limits the hosts’ potential despite their seasonal xG of 1.87. Klubi-04 have scored just 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, with only 20% of those fixtures going over 2.5 goals. The visitors have been more effective recently, scoring 2.4 goals per game across their last five outings, but their advantage does not necessarily point to a high-scoring game, especially with the match’s average xG estimated at 2.65. The projected goal totals of 1.24 for Klubi-04 and 1.41 for KTP suggest a scoreline closer to 1:1 or 1:2 than a scenario with at least four goals.

A draw at half-time is the most logical starting point, as Klubi-04 were level at the break in 56% of their matches, compared with 50% for KTP; both teams score only 0.67 and 0.63 goals per match, respectively, during this phase. However, KTP have clearly superior current form: they have averaged 2.4 goals over their last five matches and lost only 20% of them, while Klubi-04 scored 0.8 goals, conceded 1.6, and lost 60% of their games. After the break, the visitors are particularly dangerous, averaging 1.6 goals in their last five appearances and winning the second half in 60% of them, while the hosts have recorded no second-half wins. The season-long figures remain closely balanced, but KTP average 2.13 points per match compared with Klubi-04's 2.11 and have kept a clean sheet in as many as 63% of their matches. Therefore, the strongest scenario is a half-time draw followed by an away win: X/2.