KTP vs KäPa: match statistics
KTP vs KäPa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KTP played KäPa in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Arto Tolsa Areena. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
KTP: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. KäPa: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KTP scores 1.72 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. KäPa scores 1.06 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KTP 44%, KäPa 61%. Over 2.5: KTP 44%, KäPa 67%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
KTP has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.36. KTP: 15.2 shots per match, KäPa: 11.1.
Match halves
KTP: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.06. KäPa: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
KTP: 61-75 (8 goals). KäPa: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KTP are top of the table and have won 12 of their 18 matches this season, while KäPa have recorded just 4 victories and suffered 10 defeats. At home, the hosts win 67% of their matches, score an average of 2.00 goals and create chances worth 1.87 xG, whereas KäPa score only 1.00 goal away from home with 1.25 xG. The difference is also evident defensively: KTP concede 1.11 goals per home match, compared with as many as 1.89 for the visitors, who keep a clean sheet in only 11% of their away games. Current form further favours the hosts, who have scored 10 goals and recorded 3 wins in their last five matches, while KäPa have managed 4 goals and lost 4 of their 5 games during the same period. KTP also register significantly more shots on target at home, averaging 5.89 compared with KäPa’s 2.89 away from home, which should translate into a clear advantage for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the fact that both teams scored in 56% of KTP’s matches this season and in as many as 67% of KäPa’s, clearly above the league average of 43%. Both sides keep a clean sheet in only 11% of their matches, while KäPa concede an average of 1.89 goals per game, significantly increasing KTP’s chances of scoring. The hosts are in better offensive form, averaging 2.0 goals over their last five matches with an xG of 1.71, while KTP’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.51. KäPa have scored only 0.8 goals per game during this period, but their xG stands at 1.47, so the potential for a single goal remains greater than their results alone suggest. The teams’ recent run has produced BTTS in 60% of matches, making a scenario in which both sides score moderately the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams surpassed the 1.5-goal mark in 78% of their matches this season, providing a highly consistent and strong signal for the Over. KTP averaged 2.0 goals scored across their last five matches, while KäPa conceded as many as 2.0 goals per game over the same period. The hosts create an average of 1.48 xG, while the visitors allow opponents 1.60 xG, giving KTP clear grounds to score at least one or two goals. KäPa also have the potential to respond, as KTP concede an average of 1.44 goals, while both teams kept a clean sheet in only 11% of matches. The projected total of 2.80 goals primarily supports Over 1.5, which is a safer option than the more volatile 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a KTP win, as the hosts were level at the break in 5 of their 9 matches, while KäPa were trailing at half-time in 4 of 9. KTP are clearly in better form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.0 goals, won three times and collected 2.0 points per game, whereas KäPa have scored 0.8 goals, failed to win any match and lost 4 of 5. The hosts’ advantage should grow after the break, as KTP have averaged 1.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded in the second half of their last five appearances, while the visitors have scored just 0.4. KTP also create more chances over the course of the season, recording an xG of 1.48 compared with 1.25 and averaging 3.89 shots on target against KäPa’s 2.89, while the visitors’ defence concedes an average of 1.89 goals per match. Therefore, the recommended HT/FT pick is X/1: a draw at half-time and a KTP win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KTP | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KTP is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - KTP · 0.2 pts / match - KäPa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KTP is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.72 goals / match - KTP · 1.06 goals / match - KäPa
KTP is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - KTP · 1.67 goals / match - KäPa
KTP scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
KäPa scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KTP
Over / Under - KäPa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KTP is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - KTP · 1.22 pts / match - KäPa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KTP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KäPa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KTP
KäPa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| KTP | Liga | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.78 | 2.45 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | • 44% | 44% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 44% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): KTP 2 - 0 - 0 KäPa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KTP vs KäPa?
The Ykkösliiga match finished KTP 2:1 KäPa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KTP and KäPa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches KTP won 2, KäPa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KTP vs KäPa?
KTP score 1.72 goals per game on average and KäPa 1.06. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of KTP's matches and 61% of KäPa's.
What form are KTP and KäPa in?
Over the last 5 games KTP have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and KäPa 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KTP vs KäPa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KTP vs KäPa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.