Finland - YkkösliigaData current as of 21 September 2026

KTP vs MP: match statistics

Reasoning:

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KTP vs MP: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KTP play MP in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 25 September 2026.

Current form

KTP: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. MP: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

KTP scores 1.83 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. MP scores 1.08 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KTP 42%, MP 46%. Over 2.5: KTP 50%, MP 42%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

KTP has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.36. KTP: 14.5 shots per match, MP: 11.5.

Match halves

KTP: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.13. MP: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46.

Goals by minute

KTP: 76-90+ (13 goals). MP: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.36)
(5.00)
(6.80)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Goals scored / match1.08
KTPMP
0.88Goals conceded / match1.42
KTPMP
49%Average possession50%
KTPMP
5.42Shots on target / match3.83
KTPMP

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.54Shots per match11.5
KTPMP
5.42Shots on target3.83
KTPMP
12.6%Shot conversion9.4%
KTPMP
49%Possession50%
KTPMP
1.73xG for1.36
KTPMP
1.26xG against1.54
KTPMP

Shooting quality

KTP: AttackingMP: Balanced
KTPMP
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KTP is 114% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - KTP · 1.4 pts / match - MP

KTP
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
75% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-3-3
2.38 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-1-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
MP
LLWDW
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-12
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KTP is 69% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - KTP · 1.08 goals / match - MP

KTP is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - KTP · 1.42 goals / match - MP

KTP scoring profile: very strong

KTP scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).

MP scoring profile: mixed

MP scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 50% (12 of 24 matches).

44Goals scored (season)26
KTPMP
21Goals conceded (season)34
KTPMP
2.71Average goals in match2.5
KTPMP
11Goals scored (last 5)7
KTPMP
1Goals conceded (last 5)8
KTPMP

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal71%
KTPMP
58%2 goals29%
KTPMP
25%3 goals8%
KTPMP
8%4 goals0%
KTPMP

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
KTPMP
17%2 goals38%
KTPMP
13%3 goals25%
KTPMP
4%4 goals4%
KTPMP

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time17%
KTPMP
13%BTTS in both halves4%
KTPMP
50%Scored in both halves13%
KTPMP

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
KTPMP
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
KTPMP
20%BTTS - last 540%
KTPMP

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
KTPMP
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
KTPMP
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
KTPMP

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time54%
KTPMP
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
KTPMP
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
KTPMP

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KTP is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - KTP · 1.42 pts / match - MP

KTP - half-time state
42% leading42% draw17% trailing
MP - half-time state
38% leading29% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.42
KTPMP
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.63
KTPMP
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
KTPMP
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.33
KTPMP
67%Clean sheet before half-time54%
KTPMP
38%No goal before half-time54%
KTPMP

After half-time (2nd half)

2.04Points per match (2nd half)1.04
KTPMP
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.46
KTPMP
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
KTPMP
1.54Average goals (2nd half)1.17
KTPMP
67%Clean sheet after half-time58%
KTPMP
25%No goal after half-time63%
KTPMP

KTP - second-half results

58% W29% D13% L
40
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MP - second-half results

17% W54% D29% L
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding87%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KTP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.60
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+4+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
MP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.60.0
Average goals in match2.60.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KTP
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
5
6
31-45
5
5
46-60
9
2
61-75
13
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

MP
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
4
5
16-30
8
4
31-45
0
6
46-60
2
3
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KTP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

MP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

KTPLigaMP
Average goals in match 2.712.58 2.50
Both teams scored 42%44% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%47% 42%
Clean sheets 50%31% 25%
Goal before half-time 71%66% 75%
Goal after half-time 83%73% 54%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): KTP 1 - 1 - 0 MP. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do KTP and MP play?

KTP face MP on 25 September 2026 in Ykkösliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between KTP and MP?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches KTP won 1, MP won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before KTP vs MP?

KTP score 1.83 goals per game on average and MP 1.08. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 42% of KTP's matches and 46% of MP's.

What form are KTP and MP in?

Over the last 5 games KTP have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and MP 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KTP vs MP?

The statistical background for KTP vs MP — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.