KuPS vs Mariehamn: match statistics
KuPS vs Mariehamn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KuPS played Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Venue: Savon Sanomat Areena. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
KuPS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mariehamn: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
KuPS scores 1.80 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Mariehamn scores 0.55 and concedes 2.05. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KuPS 65%, Mariehamn 35%. Over 2.5: KuPS 45%, Mariehamn 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
KuPS has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.10. KuPS: 15.5 shots per match, Mariehamn: 9.1.
Match halves
KuPS: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.65. Mariehamn: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
KuPS: 31-45+ (10 goals). Mariehamn: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KuPS top the table and have suffered just 1 defeat all season, while Mariehamn sit 12th with a record of 1 win, 5 draws and 14 losses. The hosts win 60% of their home matches, are unbeaten there, average 1.9 goals scored and create chances worth 1.75 xG per game. Mariehamn score just 0.4 goals per away match, fail to score in 70% of such games and register only 2.3 shots on target, compared with KuPS’ 5.3. The visitors’ defence concedes an average of 2.4 goals away from home, with opponents producing 1.92 xG, while they have lost 90% of their away fixtures and kept not a single clean sheet. The last five matches slightly reduce confidence in the hosts, as they have scored 6 goals during that run, but the clear quality gap, home advantage and Mariehamn’s extremely poor away efficiency strongly point to a KuPS win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by the very limited attacking efficiency of both teams: KuPS score an average of 0.7 goals, while Mariehamn manage just 0.4. Mariehamn have failed to score in 70% of their matches, compared with 50% for KuPS, which significantly increases the likelihood that at least one side will once again finish the game without scoring. The seasonal BTTS rate stands at only 40% for KuPS and 30% for Mariehamn, against a league average of 50%. The visitors do have a weak defence, conceding an average of 2.4 goals, but their 4% shooting accuracy and just 2.3 shots on target per match limit their chances of finding a response. KuPS’s last five matches produced BTTS in 80% of cases, but Mariehamn’s rate is only 20%, so the stronger scenario remains that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The Under 3.5 goals line is strongly supported by both teams’ results, as a maximum of three goals was scored in 80% of their league matches. KuPS averages 0.7 goals, while Mariehamn averages just 0.4, with the visitors failing to score in 70% of their matches. At the same time, defensive weaknesses on both sides increase the likelihood of at least two goals: the hosts allow an average xG of 2.16, while the visitors allow 1.92. In their last five matches, KuPS scored 6 goals and conceded 5, whereas Mariehamn scored 3 and conceded 8, pointing more towards a 2-3-goal outcome than an open game resulting in four goals. The projected total of 2.62 goals supports a cautious Under 3.5 selection, although Mariehamn’s defence may allow KuPS to score more than once.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
KuPS have a clearly stronger profile over their last five matches: they averaged 1.2 goals scored, conceded 1.0, and lost just 20% of their games, while Mariehamn lost 60% and conceded 1.6 goals per match. The hosts led at the break in 3 of their 10 league matches this season and in as many as 60% of their last five; the visitors have never taken the lead before half-time this season and were behind at the break in 70% of their appearances. Mariehamn averaged no goals scored before half-time while conceding 1.1, which, compared with KuPS's average of 1.0 first-half goal across their last five matches, points to a home advantage being established early on. The visitors remain highly vulnerable defensively through to the final whistle, having conceded an average of 2.4 goals this season and failed to win a single match. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is KuPS leading at half-time and securing the win after the final whistle (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KuPS | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KuPS is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - KuPS · 0.8 pts / match - Mariehamn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KuPS is 227% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - KuPS · 0.55 goals / match - Mariehamn
KuPS is 128% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - KuPS · 2.05 goals / match - Mariehamn
KuPS scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
Mariehamn scores in 40% of matches (8 of 20 matches), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KuPS
Over / Under - Mariehamn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KuPS is 193% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.05 pts / match - KuPS · 0.7 pts / match - Mariehamn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KuPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KuPS
Mariehamn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| KuPS | Liga | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.61 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 50% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): KuPS 1 - 1 - 1 Mariehamn. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KuPS vs Mariehamn?
The Veikkausliiga match finished KuPS 2:4 Mariehamn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Mariehamn?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches KuPS won 1, Mariehamn won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KuPS vs Mariehamn?
KuPS score 1.80 goals per game on average and Mariehamn 0.55. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 65% of KuPS's matches and 35% of Mariehamn's.
What form are KuPS and Mariehamn in?
Over the last 5 games KuPS have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mariehamn 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KuPS vs Mariehamn?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KuPS vs Mariehamn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.