Finland - VeikkausliigaSavon Sanomat AreenaData current as of 16 October 2026

KuPS vs Oulu: match statistics

KuPS crest
KuPS
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Oulu crest
Oulu

KuPS vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KuPS played Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Venue: Savon Sanomat Areena. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

KuPS: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Oulu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

KuPS scores 1.64 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Oulu scores 1.04 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KuPS 60%, Oulu 40%. Over 2.5: KuPS 40%, Oulu 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

KuPS has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.24. KuPS: 15.1 shots per match, Oulu: 10.6.

Match halves

KuPS: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.56. Oulu: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

KuPS: 31-45+ (12 goals). Oulu: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

League leaders KuPS have won 13 of their 25 matches this season, while fifth-placed Oulu have 10 wins and 11 defeats. At home, KuPS average 1.75 goals and create chances worth 1.77 xG, while Oulu score 1.08 goals away from home with 1.32 xG. The hosts also average 5.25 shots on target at home, compared with 3.83 for Oulu on the road, further supporting the case for their attacking advantage. In their last five matches, KuPS have collected 8 points and conceded just 2 goals, whereas Oulu have managed 4 points and scored only 2 goals. The risk of a draw remains significant, as 42% of KuPS's home matches have ended level; however, Oulu have lost half of their away games.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Over the full season, both teams scored in 38% of KuPS matches and 42% of Oulu matches, both below the league average of 49%. In their last 5 matches, this scenario occurred for each team in just 20% of cases, while Oulu scored only 0.4 goals per match during that period. KuPS conceded an average of 0.4 goals recently and kept a clean sheet in 38% of its matches this season, increasing the risk that the visitors will fail to score. Although Oulu has conceded an average of 1.42 goals per match this season and KuPS has scored 1.0, the teams’ poor finishing in recent matches is a stronger indicator that at least one side will fail to score. BTTS - No therefore means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily imply a 0-0 draw.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is for Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 92% of KuPS matches and 75% of Oulu matches. The hosts concede an average of 0.92 goals, while the visitors score 1.08, limiting Oulu’s scoring prospects. In their last five matches, KuPS scored 4 goals and conceded 2, while Oulu scored 2 and conceded 4; Over 2.5 goals landed in 0% and 20% of those matches, respectively. Although Oulu’s xG is 1.32 and KuPS’s is 1.17, their low scoring output in recent matches points to a forecast of around 2.05 total goals. The 3.5 line offers more margin than 2.5 and best reflects the advantage indicated by the teams’ goal figures to date.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: KuPS were level at the break in 62% of their matches, and this result occurred three times in each team’s last five games. Oulu failed to score in the first half in any of their last five matches, while KuPS did not concede before the break during that span. The case for a subsequent home win is supported by KuPS’s average of 1.54 points per match, compared with Oulu’s 1.17; over the last five rounds, the gap widened to 1.6 versus 0.8 points. KuPS average 0.77 goals after half-time, while Oulu average 0.58, giving the hosts a chance to settle a closely fought match. However, there is a significant risk that the draw will hold, as Oulu concede just 0.33 goals per match in the second half.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
KuPSOulu
17Shots7
KuPSOulu
4Shots on target3
KuPSOulu
1.85xG0.93
KuPSOulu
9Corners3
KuPSOulu
68Dangerous attacks37
KuPSOulu
10Fouls10
KuPSOulu
1Cards1
KuPSOulu

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.64Goals scored / match1.04
KuPSOulu
0.96Goals conceded / match1.16
KuPSOulu
57%Average possession47%
KuPSOulu
5.32Shots on target / match3.68
KuPSOulu

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.12Shots per match10.6
KuPSOulu
5.32Shots on target3.68
KuPSOulu
10.8%Shot conversion9.8%
KuPSOulu
57%Possession47%
KuPSOulu
1.74xG for1.24
KuPSOulu
1.26xG against1.37
KuPSOulu

Shooting quality

KuPS: DominantOulu: Balanced
KuPSOulu
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KuPS is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - KuPS · 0.8 pts / match - Oulu

KuPS
LLDDW
Season result split
52% W36% D12% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-9-3
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Oulu
WDLLL
Season result split
40% W16% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-11
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KuPS is 58% better for: goals scored per match.

1.64 goals / match - KuPS · 1.04 goals / match - Oulu

KuPS is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.96 goals / match - KuPS · 1.16 goals / match - Oulu

KuPS scoring profile: very strong

KuPS scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

Oulu scoring profile: strong

Oulu scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).

41Goals scored (season)26
KuPSOulu
24Goals conceded (season)29
KuPSOulu
2.6Average goals in match2.2
KuPSOulu
5Goals scored (last 5)2
KuPSOulu
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
KuPSOulu

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal68%
KuPSOulu
48%2 goals24%
KuPSOulu
24%3 goals4%
KuPSOulu
8%4 goals4%
KuPSOulu

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal64%
KuPSOulu
16%2 goals28%
KuPSOulu
8%3 goals16%
KuPSOulu
4%4 goals4%
KuPSOulu

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time12%
KuPSOulu
8%BTTS in both halves4%
KuPSOulu
24%Scored in both halves12%
KuPSOulu

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
KuPSOulu
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
KuPSOulu
40%BTTS - last 520%
KuPSOulu

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
KuPSOulu
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
KuPSOulu
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
KuPSOulu

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
KuPSOulu
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
KuPSOulu
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
KuPSOulu

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KuPS is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.96 pts / match - KuPS · 1.04 pts / match - Oulu

KuPS - half-time state
56% leading28% draw16% trailing
Oulu - half-time state
20% leading44% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.96Points per match (1st half)1.04
KuPSOulu
1.08Goals scored (1st half)0.36
KuPSOulu
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
KuPSOulu
1.52Average goals (1st half)1
KuPSOulu
64%Clean sheet before half-time56%
KuPSOulu
32%No goal before half-time72%
KuPSOulu

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1.6
KuPSOulu
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
KuPSOulu
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
KuPSOulu
1.08Average goals (2nd half)1.2
KuPSOulu
52%Clean sheet after half-time68%
KuPSOulu
60%No goal after half-time48%
KuPSOulu

KuPS - second-half results

24% W48% D28% L
49
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding93%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 52%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Oulu - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KuPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Oulu - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.40.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KuPS
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
7
1
16-30
12
4
31-45
5
4
46-60
3
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Oulu
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
4
46-60
8
5
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KuPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.92
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Oulu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

KuPSLigaOulu
Average goals in match• 2.602.51▼ 2.20
Both teams scored▲ 60%49%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%45%▼ 36%
Clean sheets▲ 32%30%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%73%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 68%73%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. OuluSubstitutionOn: Julius PaananenOff: Iiro Mendolin
  2. KuPSYellow cardBob Nii Armah
  3. OuluYellow cardTuomas Kaukua

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): KuPS 2 - 1 - 1 Oulu. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Oulu
2 : 0
KuPS
KuPS
3 : 2
Oulu
AC Oulu
2 : 2
Kuopion Palloseura
Kuopion Palloseura
1 : 0
AC Oulu

FAQ

What was the result of KuPS vs Oulu?

The Veikkausliiga match finished KuPS 0:1 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Oulu?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches KuPS won 2, Oulu won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before KuPS vs Oulu?

KuPS score 1.64 goals per game on average and Oulu 1.04. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of KuPS's matches and 40% of Oulu's.

What form are KuPS and Oulu in?

Over the last 5 games KuPS have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Oulu 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KuPS vs Oulu?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.