Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kuressaare played Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 7 August 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Kuressaare: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kuressaare scores 0.90 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.43 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kuressaare 48%, Harju Jalgpallikool 48%. Over 2.5: Kuressaare 52%, Harju Jalgpallikool 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.42. Kuressaare: 11.3 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.4.
Match halves
Kuressaare: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.57. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Harju Jalgpallikool sit higher in the table and have collected 9 points and scored as many as 17 goals in their last five matches, while Kuressaare have managed 4 points and 7 goals. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, and their defence conceded just 5 goals during that period, compared with 8 conceded by the hosts. Kuressaare average only 0.9 goals at home and fail to score in 60% of their matches, which limits their chances despite home advantage. Both teams have a similar chance-creation potential — the hosts’ xG stands at 1.36, compared with 1.40 for the visitors — but Harju’s current finishing efficiency clearly favours the away side. The main risk is the visitors’ poor away form, having lost 70% of their matches on the road, but their current trend points to a higher probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Kuressaare average 1.91 goals per match, while Harju Jalgpallikool concede 1.80, which clearly supports the home side to score. The visitors’ seasonal BTTS - Yes rate is only 40%, and they failed to score in as many as 50% of their matches. However, their current attacking form is significantly better: they have scored 17 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3.4 per game. During the same period, Kuressaare conceded an average of 1.6 goals, while their average xG conceded stands at 1.95 for the season and 2.19 across their last five appearances, indicating that the hosts’ defence is allowing the opposition genuine chances. In addition, the visitors’ xG of 1.40, rising to 1.78 in their last five matches, suggests that their effective spell is not purely down to chance. BTTS - Yes is therefore slightly more likely, although the main risk comes from Harju’s low seasonal scoring average of 0.90 goals per match.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Kuressaare average 1.91 goals at home, while Harju concede 1.80 away from home, clearly supporting at least two goals in the match. The hosts generate an average of 1.65 xG, while their defence allows opponents 1.95 xG, meaning Harju should have genuine chances despite their weaker away average of 0.90 goals. In their last five matches, Harju scored as many as 17 goals, or 3.4 per game, with xG at 1.78, while Kuressaare conceded 1.6 goals per match during this period. The 1.5 line was covered in 91% of Kuressaare’s matches and 70% of Harju’s, while the league-wide average stands at a high 3.09 goals. Over 1.5 therefore has the strongest support from both the attacking and defensive profiles and the frequency of matches featuring at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Harju leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle, as the visitors have won 60% of their last five matches, scoring an impressive average of 3.4 goals. During this period, Harju have averaged 2.0 goals before half-time and held a lead after 45 minutes in 60% of their matches, while Kuressaare have scored just 0.8 goals in the first half. The hosts have stronger full-season home statistics, including a 45% rate of leading at the break and an average of 1.91 goals scored, but their current form stands at only 0.8 points per match, with defeats in 60% of their last five outings. Furthermore, Kuressaare have conceded an average of 1.2 goals after half-time in this run, while Harju have scored 1.4, strengthening the visitors’ chances of defending or extending their lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kuressaare | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Kuressaare · 1.43 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Kuressaare scores in 48% of matches (10 of 21 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kuressaare
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.29 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kuressaare
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Kuressaare | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 3.09 | • 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 86% | 88% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Kuressaare 2 - 1 - 3 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 3:2 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 2, Harju Jalgpallikool won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Kuressaare score 0.90 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.43. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Kuressaare's matches and 48% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Kuressaare and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.