Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kuressaare played Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Kuressaare: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kuressaare scores 1.07 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.03 and concedes 1.34. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kuressaare 52%, Tallinna FC Flora 59%. Over 2.5: Kuressaare 59%, Tallinna FC Flora 83%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.49. Kuressaare: 12.0 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 15.8.
Match halves
Kuressaare: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.55. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Kuressaare: 76-90+ (9 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-6. Average goals 3.57, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Flora are 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while eighth-placed Kuressaare have recorded 2 wins over the same period. Away from home, Flora win 64% of their matches and average 1.86 goals, while Kuressaare win 36% of their home games and score an average of 1.29 goals. The visitors also create better chances: their average away xG is 2.00, compared with the hosts’ 1.52 at home. Kuressaare allow chances worth an average xG of 1.87 at home and concede 1.57 goals per match; alongside Flora’s 13 goals in their last 5 matches, this points to the visitors. However, Flora have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, so an away win is the most likely outcome, but the hosts finding the net cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 60% of Kuressaare’s matches and 57% of Flora’s, rising to 60% and 100%, respectively, across their last 5 matches. Both teams score regularly: the hosts average 2.2 goals and the visitors 1.86, with xG of 1.90 and 2.00, respectively. At the same time, Kuressaare conceded an average of 2.0 goals and Flora 1.8 in their last 5 matches, increasing the chances of both sides finding the net. The risk of either team failing to score is also limited by the fact that the hosts drew a blank in 7% of their matches, compared with 14% for the visitors. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that both teams will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 87% of Kuressaare matches and 93% of Flora matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Both teams create chances consistently, with average xG of 1,90 and 2,00 respectively, and each recording more than 5 shots on target per match. The last 5 matches also point to open play: Kuressaare averaged 1,4 goals scored and 2,0 conceded, while Flora averaged 2,6 scored and 1,8 conceded. Although Over 2.5 landed in 80% of the hosts’ matches and 100% of the visitors’ during this period, the 1.5 line has stronger backing in the full-season data. A forecast of 3,65 total goals supports the selection of at least 2 goals without needing to rely on the riskier expectation of a 3-goal outcome.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic scenario: Kuressaare were level at the break in 40% of their matches, compared with 43% for Flora. The hosts average 1.07 goals before half-time, versus 0.71 for the visitors, so despite Flora’s better form, an early lead for the visitors is not the most reliable option. In their last five matches, Flora won four times and Kuressaare twice; over that period, the visitors scored an average of 2.6 goals per match, compared with 1.4 for the hosts. The biggest difference comes after half-time: across those five matches, Flora averaged 1.4 goals in the second half, while Kuressaare managed just 0.2. This points to the visitors turning the result in their favour after a closely contested first half, although a home lead at the break remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kuressaare | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Flora is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Kuressaare · 2.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Kuressaare · 2.03 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - Kuressaare · 1.34 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Kuressaare scores in 52% of matches (15 of 29 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kuressaare
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Flora is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.45 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kuressaare
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Kuressaare | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.76 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 89% | • 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Kuressaare 1 - 0 - 6 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 3.57, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 2:0 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 6 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Kuressaare score 1.07 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 2.03. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kuressaare's matches and 59% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Flora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.