KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: match statistics
KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KV Mechelen played Sint-Truiden in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
KV Mechelen: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Sint-Truiden: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KV Mechelen scores 0.71 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Sint-Truiden scores 1.71 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KV Mechelen 29%, Sint-Truiden 43%. Over 2.5: KV Mechelen 43%, Sint-Truiden 57%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Sint-Truiden has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.37. KV Mechelen: 11.9 shots per match, Sint-Truiden: 17.3.
Match halves
KV Mechelen: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43. Sint-Truiden: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
KV Mechelen: 76-90+ (2 goals). Sint-Truiden: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sint-Truiden have a clear edge in the results so far: they have won 2 of 7 matches, while KV Mechelen have yet to win and sit in 17th place. In their last five games, the visitors have scored 8 goals and recorded 2 wins, while the hosts have managed just 2 goals and have not won once. Sint-Truiden average 2.33 goals away from home, while Mechelen concede 2.67 per game at home, strengthening the case for an away win. However, the hosts could still pose a threat, with a home xG of 1.48, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average of 2.03 xG away from home. Despite this defensive vulnerability, Sint-Truiden are more clinical on the road—converting 16% of their shots into goals compared with the hosts' 7% at home—and remain favourites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in only 20% of games, a stronger signal against goals at both ends than Mechelen’s season rate of 25% and Sint-Truiden’s 67%. The main risk to the BTTS scenario comes from the home side’s attack: they have scored an average of just 0.4 goals per match recently and failed to score in 50% of their matches over the season. The visitors are more likely to find the net, having averaged 1.6 goals in their last 5 appearances, while Mechelen conceded 1.8 goals per match over that span. However, the case for BTTS - Yes is supported by the hosts’ xG of 1.98, compared with the visitors’ 2.03 xG conceded. This makes the edge for BTTS - No moderate, with the main risk being that Mechelen fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: all matches played by both teams so far have gone over this line. Sint-Truiden average 2.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, while KV Mechelen create chances worth 1.98 xG against 2.03 xG conceded by the visitors. The case for goals is further strengthened by the fact that the visitors have conceded in every match, and both teams’ fixtures have averaged at least one second-half goal. The higher line is less certain: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of the hosts’ matches and 67% of the visitors’ matches, while Mechelen have scored just 0.4 goals per game across their last five fixtures. Therefore, the 3.25-goal forecast supports backing at least two goals, but offers a weaker basis for selecting the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal concerns the first half: KV Mechelen were trailing at the break in 3 of the 4 matches analyzed, while Sint-Truiden led in 2 of 3. The visitors average 1.0 goal before half-time, compared with 0.25 for the hosts, pointing to an early lead for Sint-Truiden. Holding that advantage is the most likely single scenario, as Mechelen lost 50% of the matches analyzed at home and have averaged just 0.4 goals per game across their last five, compared with Sint-Truiden’s 1.6. However, the risk of a turnaround remains significant: the hosts average 1.0 goal after the break, while the visitors concede 1.67 goals in the second half. Therefore, the 2/2 pick ranks ahead of draw or home-win scenarios, although the small sample of matches analyzed limits confidence in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KV Mechelen | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sint-Truiden is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - KV Mechelen · 1.2 pts / match - Sint-Truiden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 141% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - KV Mechelen · 1.71 goals / match - Sint-Truiden
Sint-Truiden is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - KV Mechelen · 1.71 goals / match - Sint-Truiden
KV Mechelen scores in 29% of matches (2 of 7 matches), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Sint-Truiden scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
Over / Under - Sint-Truiden
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sint-Truiden is 921% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.14 pts / match - KV Mechelen · 1.43 pts / match - Sint-Truiden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truiden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KV Mechelen | Liga | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 42% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 31% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): KV Mechelen 0 - 0 - 4 Sint-Truiden. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The Pro League match finished KV Mechelen 4:3 Sint-Truiden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches KV Mechelen won 0, Sint-Truiden won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
KV Mechelen score 0.71 goals per game on average and Sint-Truiden 1.71. The Pro League average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 29% of KV Mechelen's matches and 43% of Sint-Truiden's.
What form are KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden in?
Over the last 5 games KV Mechelen have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Sint-Truiden 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The statistical background for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.