Kwara United vs Abia Warriors: match statistics
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Kwara United vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kwara United play Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.
Current form
Kwara United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Abia Warriors: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kwara United scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 1.00 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kwara United 38%, Abia Warriors 25%. Over 2.5: Kwara United 50%, Abia Warriors 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.17 vs 0.68. Kwara United: 0.3 shots per match, Abia Warriors: 3.9.
Match halves
Kwara United: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.88. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Kwara United: 46-60 (3 goals). Abia Warriors: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kwara United | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -100% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 2.72 | 0.30 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Abia Warriors is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.4 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kwara United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Kwara United · 1 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Kwara United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Kwara United · 1.38 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Kwara United scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Abia Warriors scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kwara United
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abia Warriors is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Kwara United · 0.75 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kwara United | Liga | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.41 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kwara United 0 - 0 - 2 Abia Warriors. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Kwara United and Abia Warriors play?
Kwara United face Abia Warriors on 18 October 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kwara United and Abia Warriors?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kwara United won 0, Abia Warriors won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?
Kwara United score 1.13 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 1.00. The NPFL average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Kwara United's matches and 25% of Abia Warriors's.
What form are Kwara United and Abia Warriors in?
Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Abia Warriors 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Abia Warriors?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.