Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana: match statistics
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kyzyl-Zhar played Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Karasay. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kyzyl-Zhar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Astana: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.19 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Astana scores 1.65 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kyzyl-Zhar 52%, Astana 50%. Over 2.5: Kyzyl-Zhar 57%, Astana 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.22. Kyzyl-Zhar: 10.1 shots per match, Astana: 16.5.
Match halves
Kyzyl-Zhar: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. Astana: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Kyzyl-Zhar: 76-90+ (10 goals). Astana: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kyzyl-Zhar have significantly stronger home numbers: they average 1.73 goals per match, while Astana score just 0.78 away from home. The visitors have failed to score in 56% of their away matches and have won only 11% of them, which considerably limits the significance of their high 3rd-place position in the table. However, Astana arrive on the back of 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 12 goals scored, so their chances remain significant. The hosts are vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.55 goals at home and keeping a clean sheet in only 9% of matches, which also increases the likelihood of a draw. Although Astana’s away xG stands at 1.54 compared with Kyzyl-Zhar’s 1.37 at home, the hosts’ more efficient performances in front of their home crowd point to a narrow victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is further strengthened by current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams produced this outcome in as many as 80% of games. Kyzyl-Zhar averaged 1,6 goals scored and 1,2 conceded during this period, while Astana scored 2,4 goals and allowed opponents 1,6. Astana have been creating a high volume of chances recently, with an average xG of 2,30, while Kyzyl-Zhar’s defence allowed opponents an xG of 1,77, clearly increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts have been offensively strong over the course of the season, averaging 2,36 goals, 2,12 xG and 7,82 shots on target per match, while Astana have kept a clean sheet in only 22% of their appearances. The risk to this pick is Astana’s weaker seasonal away scoring record, with an average of 0,78 goals and no goal scored in as many as 56% of matches. However, current form clearly shifts the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Kyzyl-Zhar averages 2.36 goals at home, creating chances worth 2.12 xG, while Astana concedes an average of 1.44 goals away from home, with 1.49 xG allowed to opponents. The hosts also record 18.73 shots and 7.82 shots on target per match, which significantly increases the likelihood of them contributing to the goals tally. In their last five matches, both teams recorded games with Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively, while Astana scored 2.4 goals per match during this period. Over 1.5 goals landed in 91% of Kyzyl-Zhar matches and 67% of Astana matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest and least risky signal in the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kyzyl-Zhar have won 91% of their home matches, averaging 2.36 goals scored and conceding just 0.73, while Astana average only 0.78 points per away match and have lost 44% of their away fixtures. The strongest signal for a home lead at the break comes from the first-half record: Kyzyl-Zhar led at half-time in 73% of matches, scoring an average of 1.36 goals and conceding 0.27, while Astana were behind at half-time in 44% of their away games. The difference is further supported by chance creation, with the hosts averaging 2.12 xG compared with Astana’s 1.49 xG conceded, while shots on target stand at 7.82 versus 4.56. However, Astana are in excellent recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and taking a lead at the break in 80% of them, which increases the likelihood of draw or away-win HT/FT outcomes. Nevertheless, Kyzyl-Zhar’s full-season advantage, including their unbeaten home record and Astana conceding 0.89 goals before half-time, makes a home lead at the break followed by a home win the most likely scenario: 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 3 pts / match - Astana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.65 goals / match - Astana
Astana is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.05 goals / match - Astana
Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Astana scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kyzyl-Zhar
Over / Under - Astana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.8 pts / match - Astana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kyzyl-Zhar
Astana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Liga | Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.62 | 2.45 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kyzyl-Zhar 0 - 1 - 2 Astana. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kyzyl-Zhar 1:1 Astana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kyzyl-Zhar and Astana?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kyzyl-Zhar won 0, Astana won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana?
Kyzyl-Zhar score 1.19 goals per game on average and Astana 1.65. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kyzyl-Zhar's matches and 50% of Astana's.
What form are Kyzyl-Zhar and Astana in?
Over the last 5 games Kyzyl-Zhar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Astana 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana?
The statistical background for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.