Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueStadion KarasayData current as of 14 August 2026

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kyzyl-Zhar play Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Karasay.

Current form

Kyzyl-Zhar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Astana: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.19 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Astana scores 1.65 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kyzyl-Zhar 52%, Astana 50%. Over 2.5: Kyzyl-Zhar 57%, Astana 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Astana has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.22. Kyzyl-Zhar: 10.1 shots per match, Astana: 16.5.

Match halves

Kyzyl-Zhar: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. Astana: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Kyzyl-Zhar: 76-90+ (10 goals). Astana: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.82)
(3.51)
(1.93)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.19Goals scored / match1.65
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
1.43Goals conceded / match1.05
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
44%Average possession60%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
4Shots on target / match6.35
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.05Shots per match16.5
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
4Shots on target6.35
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
11.8%Shot conversion10%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
44%Possession60%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
1.22xG for1.86
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
1.55xG against1.26
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

Shooting quality

Kyzyl-Zhar: BalancedAstana: Dominant
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Astana is 88% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 3 pts / match - Astana

Kyzyl-Zhar
LDWWD
Season result split
29% W24% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-10
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Astana
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
55% W25% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-4
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.47Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Astana is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.19 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.65 goals / match - Astana

Astana is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.05 goals / match - Astana

Kyzyl-Zhar scoring profile: strong

Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

Astana scoring profile: very strong

Astana scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

25Goals scored (season)33
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
30Goals conceded (season)21
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
2.62Average goals in match2.7
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
8Goals scored (last 5)12
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal75%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
38%2 goals60%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
14%3 goals20%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
5%4 goals10%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal70%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
48%2 goals25%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
10%3 goals5%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
5%4 goals5%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time20%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
19%Scored in both halves40%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
80%BTTS - last 560%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Astana is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.8 pts / match - Astana

Kyzyl-Zhar - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing
Astana - half-time state
50% leading30% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)1.8
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.9
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.45
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
71%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
71%No goal before half-time40%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
1.95Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
38%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana
48%No goal after half-time45%
Kyzyl-ZharAstana

Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results

24% W33% R43% P
24
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Astana - second-half results

35% W45% R20% P
36
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kyzyl-Zhar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Astana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.20
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kyzyl-Zhar
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
4
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
10
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Astana
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
6
4
31-45
8
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kyzyl-Zhar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Astana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
165%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Kyzyl-ZharLigaAstana
Average goals in match 2.622.40 2.70
Both teams scored 52%55% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%45% 50%
Clean sheets 19%27% 30%
Goal before half-time 43%65% 75%
Goal after half-time 81%71% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Kyzyl-Zhar 0 - 1 - 2 Astana. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Astana
2 : 1
Kyzyl-Zhar
FK Astana
3 : 3
FK Kyzyl-Zhar SK Petropavlovsk
FK Kyzyl-Zhar SK Petropavlovsk
0 : 2
FK Astana

FAQ

When do Kyzyl-Zhar and Astana play?

Kyzyl-Zhar face Astana on 16 August 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Stadion Karasay. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kyzyl-Zhar and Astana?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kyzyl-Zhar won 0, Astana won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana?

Kyzyl-Zhar score 1.19 goals per game on average and Astana 1.65. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kyzyl-Zhar's matches and 50% of Astana's.

What form are Kyzyl-Zhar and Astana in?

Over the last 5 games Kyzyl-Zhar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Astana 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana?

The statistical background for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Astana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.