Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio La Portada de La SerenaData current as of 20 October 2026

La Serena vs Concepción: match statistics

Reasoning:

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La Serena vs Concepción: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

La Serena play Concepción in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estadio La Portada de La Serena.

Current form

La Serena: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Concepción: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

La Serena scores 1.50 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Concepción scores 1.08 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: La Serena 58%, Concepción 38%. Over 2.5: La Serena 58%, Concepción 29%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Concepción has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.32. La Serena: 12.0 shots per match, Concepción: 13.8.

Match halves

La Serena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75. Concepción: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.54.

Goals by minute

La Serena: 31-45+ (9 goals). Concepción: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.25)
(3.40)
(2.95)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

La SerenaConcepción
1.5Goals scored / match1.08
La SerenaConcepción
1.71Goals conceded / match1.13
La SerenaConcepción
47%Average possession47%
La SerenaConcepción
4.54Shots on target / match3.79
La SerenaConcepción

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match13.83
La SerenaConcepción
4.54Shots on target3.79
La SerenaConcepción
12.5%Shot conversion7.8%
La SerenaConcepción
47%Possession47%
La SerenaConcepción
1.32xG for1.39
La SerenaConcepción
1.54xG against1.46
La SerenaConcepción

Shooting quality

La Serena: Counter-attackingConcepción: Balanced
La SerenaConcepción
Accuracy (shots on target)38%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

La Serena is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - La Serena · 1.2 pts / match - Concepción

La Serena
DWWLL
Season result split
29% W38% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-9-8
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-4
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Concepción
DWLDD
Season result split
38% W21% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-10
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-6
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

La Serena is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - La Serena · 1.08 goals / match - Concepción

Concepción is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.71 goals / match - La Serena · 1.13 goals / match - Concepción

La Serena scoring profile: very strong

La Serena scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).

Concepción scoring profile: very strong

Concepción scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).

36Goals scored (season)26
La SerenaConcepción
41Goals conceded (season)27
La SerenaConcepción
3.21Average goals in match2.21
La SerenaConcepción
8Goals scored (last 5)4
La SerenaConcepción
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
La SerenaConcepción

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal71%
La SerenaConcepción
46%2 goals25%
La SerenaConcepción
21%3 goals13%
La SerenaConcepción
4%4 goals0%
La SerenaConcepción

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal67%
La SerenaConcepción
46%2 goals38%
La SerenaConcepción
33%3 goals8%
La SerenaConcepción
13%4 goals0%
La SerenaConcepción

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time4%
La SerenaConcepción
13%BTTS in both halves0%
La SerenaConcepción
29%Scored in both halves25%
La SerenaConcepción

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
La SerenaConcepción
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
La SerenaConcepción
60%BTTS - last 560%
La SerenaConcepción

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
La SerenaConcepción
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
La SerenaConcepción
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
La SerenaConcepción

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
La SerenaConcepción
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
La SerenaConcepción
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
La SerenaConcepción

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

La Serena - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing
Concepción - half-time state
46% leading25% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.63
La SerenaConcepción
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.54
La SerenaConcepción
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
La SerenaConcepción
1.29Average goals (1st half)1
La SerenaConcepción
58%Clean sheet before half-time71%
La SerenaConcepción
42%No goal before half-time50%
La SerenaConcepción

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.21
La SerenaConcepción
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
La SerenaConcepción
1.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
La SerenaConcepción
1.92Average goals (2nd half)1.21
La SerenaConcepción
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
La SerenaConcepción
50%No goal after half-time54%
La SerenaConcepción

La Serena - second-half results

25% W33% D42% L
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Concepción - second-half results

25% W46% D29% L
39
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

La Serena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Concepción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

La Serena
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
9
7
31-45
7
7
46-60
5
5
61-75
6
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Concepción
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+121%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

La Serena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

La SerenaLigaConcepción
Average goals in match▲ 3.212.89▼ 2.21
Both teams scored▲ 58%53%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%55%▼ 29%
Clean sheets• 25%26%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%74%• 75%
Goal after half-time• 79%78%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: La Serena 0 - 1 - 0 Concepción. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do La Serena and Concepción play?

La Serena face Concepción on 24 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio La Portada de La Serena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Concepción?

La Serena score 1.50 goals per game on average and Concepción 1.08. The Primera División average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of La Serena's matches and 38% of Concepción's.

What form are La Serena and Concepción in?

Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Concepción 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Concepción?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for La Serena vs Concepción: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.