Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio La Portada de La SerenaData current as of 02 September 2026

La Serena vs Ñublense: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

La Serena vs Ñublense: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

La Serena play Ñublense in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: Estadio La Portada de La Serena.

Current form

La Serena: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ñublense: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

La Serena scores 1.52 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Ñublense scores 1.30 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: La Serena 57%, Ñublense 55%. Over 2.5: La Serena 52%, Ñublense 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Ñublense has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.31. La Serena: 12.0 shots per match, Ñublense: 12.9.

Match halves

La Serena: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.76. Ñublense: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

La Serena: 31-45+ (8 goals). Ñublense: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.20)
(3.30)
(2.87)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.52Goals scored / match1.3
La SerenaÑublense
1.62Goals conceded / match1.2
La SerenaÑublense
47%Average possession46%
La SerenaÑublense
4.48Shots on target / match4.05
La SerenaÑublense

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match12.9
La SerenaÑublense
4.48Shots on target4.05
La SerenaÑublense
12.7%Shot conversion10.1%
La SerenaÑublense
47%Possession46%
La SerenaÑublense
1.31xG for1.44
La SerenaÑublense
1.57xG against1.28
La SerenaÑublense

Shooting quality

La Serena: Counter-attackingÑublense: Balanced
La SerenaÑublense
Accuracy (shots on target)37%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ñublense is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - La Serena · 2 pts / match - Ñublense

La Serena
LDWDW
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-6
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Ñublense
WDWWL
Season result split
40% W40% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-4
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

La Serena is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - La Serena · 1.3 goals / match - Ñublense

Ñublense is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.62 goals / match - La Serena · 1.2 goals / match - Ñublense

La Serena scoring profile: very strong

La Serena scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

Ñublense scoring profile: very strong

Ñublense scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

32Goals scored (season)26
La SerenaÑublense
34Goals conceded (season)24
La SerenaÑublense
3.14Average goals in match2.5
La SerenaÑublense
8Goals scored (last 5)8
La SerenaÑublense
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
La SerenaÑublense

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal85%
La SerenaÑublense
43%2 goals45%
La SerenaÑublense
24%3 goals0%
La SerenaÑublense
5%4 goals0%
La SerenaÑublense

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal65%
La SerenaÑublense
43%2 goals35%
La SerenaÑublense
29%3 goals5%
La SerenaÑublense
14%4 goals5%
La SerenaÑublense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time20%
La SerenaÑublense
10%BTTS in both halves10%
La SerenaÑublense
24%Scored in both halves25%
La SerenaÑublense

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
La SerenaÑublense
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
La SerenaÑublense
60%BTTS - last 560%
La SerenaÑublense

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
La SerenaÑublense
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
La SerenaÑublense
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
La SerenaÑublense

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
La SerenaÑublense
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
La SerenaÑublense
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
La SerenaÑublense

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

La Serena is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / match - La Serena · 1.35 pts / match - Ñublense

La Serena - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing
Ñublense - half-time state
35% leading30% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)1.35
La SerenaÑublense
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.7
La SerenaÑublense
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
La SerenaÑublense
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.3
La SerenaÑublense
62%Clean sheet before half-time55%
La SerenaÑublense
43%No goal before half-time45%
La SerenaÑublense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)1.55
La SerenaÑublense
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
La SerenaÑublense
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
La SerenaÑublense
1.86Average goals (2nd half)1.2
La SerenaÑublense
33%Clean sheet after half-time65%
La SerenaÑublense
52%No goal after half-time45%
La SerenaÑublense

La Serena - second-half results

24% W38% R38% P
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ñublense - second-half results

40% W35% R25% P
27
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

La Serena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Ñublense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

La Serena
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
6
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
5
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Ñublense
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.82
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

La Serena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Ñublense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

La SerenaLigaÑublense
Average goals in match 3.142.88 2.50
Both teams scored 57%53% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%56% 40%
Clean sheets 29%26% 35%
Goal before half-time 71%74% 80%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): La Serena 0 - 2 - 1 Ñublense. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Ñublense
2 : 2
La Serena
CD La Serena
1 : 1
Deportivo Ñublense SADP
Deportivo Ñublense SADP
2 : 0
CD La Serena

FAQ

When do La Serena and Ñublense play?

La Serena face Ñublense on 6 September 2026 in Primera División at Estadio La Portada de La Serena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and Ñublense?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches La Serena won 0, Ñublense won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Ñublense?

La Serena score 1.52 goals per game on average and Ñublense 1.30. The Primera División average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 57% of La Serena's matches and 55% of Ñublense's.

What form are La Serena and Ñublense in?

Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ñublense 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Ñublense?

The statistical background for La Serena vs Ñublense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.