Ñublense vs La Serena: match statistics
Ñublense shows solid home form with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, sitting 3rd in the table. The hosts have an edge in home attacking efficiency (averaging 1 goal per match) and a better expected goals metric (xG 1.31 vs 0.96), indicating the creation of genuine scoring opportunities. La Serena displays low scoring efficiency in away matches (averaging 0.5 goals per match) and fails to score in 50% of these fixtures, which is a major weakness. Although both teams have a neutral goal difference in these configurations (GD=0), Ñublense's form over the last 5 matches (2 points per match) surpasses the visitors' disposition (1.4 points per match). Considering the home-field advantage, superior form, and La Serena's offensive struggles on the road, the hosts are the favorites for this encounter, although the visitors could put up a fight, justifying a moderate probability for a draw.
Ñublense vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ñublense play La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 16 March 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Ñublense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. La Serena: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ñublense scores 1.20 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. La Serena scores 1.40 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ñublense 53%, La Serena 53%. Over 2.5: Ñublense 33%, La Serena 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Ñublense has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.26. Ñublense: 12.7 shots per match, La Serena: 11.5.
Match halves
Ñublense: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60. La Serena: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Ñublense: 31-45+ (5 goals). La Serena: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Ñublense shows solid home form with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, sitting 3rd in the table. The hosts have an edge in home attacking efficiency (averaging 1 goal per match) and a better expected goals metric (xG 1.31 vs 0.96), indicating the creation of genuine scoring opportunities. La Serena displays low scoring efficiency in away matches (averaging 0.5 goals per match) and fails to score in 50% of these fixtures, which is a major weakness. Although both teams have a neutral goal difference in these configurations (GD=0), Ñublense's form over the last 5 matches (2 points per match) surpasses the visitors' disposition (1.4 points per match). Considering the home-field advantage, superior form, and La Serena's offensive struggles on the road, the hosts are the favorites for this encounter, although the visitors could put up a fight, justifying a moderate probability for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ñublense | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Serena is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Ñublense · 1.4 goals / match - La Serena
Ñublense is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Ñublense · 1.67 goals / match - La Serena
Ñublense scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
La Serena scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ñublense
Over / Under — La Serena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Ñublense · 1.67 pts / match - La Serena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ñublense
La Serena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Ñublense | Liga | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ñublense 1 - 1 - 0 La Serena. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ñublense vs La Serena?
The Primera División match finished Ñublense 2:2 La Serena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ñublense and La Serena?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 1, La Serena won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ñublense vs La Serena?
Ñublense score 1.20 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.40. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Ñublense's matches and 53% of La Serena's.
What form are Ñublense and La Serena in?
Over the last 5 games Ñublense have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and La Serena 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ñublense vs La Serena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ñublense vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.