Laçi vs Teuta Durrës: match statistics

Laçi are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 4 wins and 1 draw while scoring 8 goals and conceding just 3. Teuta Durrës have also avoided defeat during this period, but their record of 3 wins and 2 draws indicates slightly weaker points consistency than the hosts. At home, Laçi create chances worth an average of 1.84 xG, registering 14 shots and 5 shots on target per match, which should test a well-organized opposition defence. Away from home, the visitors boast strong averages of 2.10 xG and just 0.66 xG conceded, but they failed to score in their only away match so far despite taking 21 shots and enjoying 68% possession. Laçi’s current run and their efficiency over the last five matches provide a slight edge to the hosts, although the narrow difference increases the likelihood of a draw.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the current form of both teams: in their last 5 matches, both Laçi and Teuta Durrës averaged 1.6 goals scored, while each recorded a BTTS rate of 60%. The hosts conceded just 0.6 goals per match during this period, but Teuta created chances worth 1.99 xG, giving them a solid basis for scoring. Laçi generated an average of 1.70 xG, while the visitors’ defense allowed opponents 0.85 xG, so a home goal is also likely. The single-match seasonal data is extremely divergent, with Laçi recording 100% BTTS and Teuta 0%; therefore, greater weight should be given to the five-match sample and the league BTTS average of 60%. The scenario with goals for both sides holds a slight but clear advantage over the alternative in which at least one team fails to score.

In their last five matches, Laçi scored 8 goals and conceded 3, averaging 2.2 total goals per game, while Teuta’s matches produced an average of 2.4 goals, following 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. During this period, both teams recorded at least three goals in only 40% of their matches, which limits the case for a high-scoring game. Offensive potential remains evident, with average xG of 1.70 for Laçi and 1.99 for Teuta, but their defenses allowed only 1.17 and 0.85 xG, respectively. The projected total of 2.55 goals suggests a realistic possibility of three goals, but significantly lower chances of four or more; therefore, the best option is Under 3.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Laçi victory at the final whistle, as the hosts have won 80% of their last five matches, while Teuta have drawn as many as 40%. The opening phase should be cautious: Laçi have averaged 0.4 goals before the break and Teuta just 0.2, while the hosts have kept a clean sheet in the first half in 80% of their recent matches. The visitors have gone into half-time level in 60% of those games, but have been trailing in 40%, whereas Laçi have held the lead after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches. After the break, Laçi score an average of 1.2 goals while conceding just 0.4, supporting a late turnaround in a balanced match in favour of the hosts. Although Teuta average 21 shots compared with Laçi’s 19 and have a higher defensive xG, the hosts’ stronger recent results and attacking xG of 2.29 point towards them closing out the match with a victory.