Larissa vs Aris: match statistics
Aris is in significantly better form than Larissa, which is confirmed by the difference in points per match over their last 5 games (1.6 vs 0.6). The hosts are in 13th place in the table and have not won a single home match this season, recording a 50% loss rate and 50% draws at their own stadium. Larissa has an alarming goal difference of -8 in home matches, scoring an average of just 0.88 goals per game. Aris, despite playing away, has a 38% away win rate and better scoring efficiency with a similar average xG. Aris's form (dwwdl) is clearly better than Larissa's disastrous run (ldldd), further strengthening the case for an away win. Considering all statistics, Aris has a real chance of taking all three points, although both teams' poor offensive efficiency could lead to a draw.
Larissa vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larissa played Aris in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Larissa: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Aris: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larissa scores 0.88 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Aris scores 0.88 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larissa 56%, Aris 50%. Over 2.5: Larissa 44%, Aris 31%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Aris has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.19. Larissa: 11.1 shots per match, Aris: 12.4.
Match halves
Larissa: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.56. Aris: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Larissa: 46-60 (4 goals). Aris: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aris is in significantly better form than Larissa, which is confirmed by the difference in points per match over their last 5 games (1.6 vs 0.6). The hosts are in 13th place in the table and have not won a single home match this season, recording a 50% loss rate and 50% draws at their own stadium. Larissa has an alarming goal difference of -8 in home matches, scoring an average of just 0.88 goals per game. Aris, despite playing away, has a 38% away win rate and better scoring efficiency with a similar average xG. Aris's form (dwwdl) is clearly better than Larissa's disastrous run (ldldd), further strengthening the case for an away win. Considering all statistics, Aris has a real chance of taking all three points, although both teams' poor offensive efficiency could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larissa | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aris is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Larissa · 1.6 pts / match - Aris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aris is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Larissa · 1.06 goals / match - Aris
Larissa scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Aris scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larissa
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aris is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.56 pts / match - Larissa · 1.31 pts / match - Aris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 6%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larissa
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Larissa | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.67 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Larissa 0 - 0 - 1 Aris. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larissa vs Aris?
The Super League match finished Larissa 1:0 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Larissa vs Aris?
Larissa score 0.88 goals per game on average and Aris 0.88. The Super League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Larissa's matches and 50% of Aris's.
What form are Larissa and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games Larissa have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Aris 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larissa vs Aris?
The statistical background for Larissa vs Aris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.