Larne vs Bangor: match statistics
Larne vs Bangor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne played Bangor in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 8 September 2026. Venue: Inver Park. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Larne: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Bangor: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Bangor scores 0.50 and concedes 2.75. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 50%, Bangor 25%. Over 2.5: Larne 50%, Bangor 75%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.06. Larne: 9.0 shots per match, Bangor: 7.3.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Bangor: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Larne: 46-60 (1 goals). Bangor: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne have not been particularly clinical lately, scoring just 3 goals in their previous five matches, yet they still managed to collect 5 points from a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Bangor are in a far worse run of form, having lost all of their last 5 fixtures, scoring 2 goals and conceding as many as 16. Away from home, the visitors have lost 100% of their matches, failed to score a single goal and conceded an average of 2 goals per game. Larne also have attacking issues, but Bangor’s defence, which has conceded 9 goals in three league matches, should give the hosts their best opportunity to end their scoring drought. Home advantage and the visitors’ significantly weaker form point towards a Larne win, although the hosts’ limited goal output increases the risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as neither team has scored a goal in the current season data, while the rate of matches featuring goals from both sides stands at 0% for each team. In their last 5 matches, Larne averaged 0.6 goals, while Bangor managed just 0.4, with only 20% of matches ending in BTTS - Yes for both sides. Bangor have lost their last five matches and conceded 16 goals in the process, but their attack generated just 0.78 xG per match, limiting their chances of exploiting Larne’s defensive weaknesses. Larne have the higher recent xG, at 1.23 compared with the opponent’s 0.78, making a one-sided home win more likely than a Bangor goal. Additionally, the league-average BTTS rate is only 33%, reinforcing the prediction that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have produced very limited attacking output in their last five matches: Larne average 0.6 goals, while Bangor manage just 0.4. At the same time, Bangor concede as many as 3.2 goals per game, which clearly boosts the projection for the hosts. However, Larne have averaged only 1.23 xG, making a high-scoring game difficult to expect. The visitors’ xG across their last five appearances stands at just 0.78, and both teams have recorded matches with goals scored by both sides in only 20% of those fixtures. Even with Bangor’s defensive weakness, a result around 2 total goals is more likely than four, making Under 3.5 goals the safest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Larne win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 100% of their last five matches, scoring and conceding no goals before half-time. Bangor, meanwhile, were trailing at half-time in each of their last five games, conceding an average of 1.6 goals and scoring just 0.2 during this phase. After the break, Larne score an average of 0.6 goals, while Bangor allow their opponents 1.6, supporting a shift in the hosts’ advantage towards the full-time result. The overall form also clearly favours Larne: the hosts averaged 1.0 point per match across their last five games, whereas Bangor lost all five and conceded an average of 3.2 goals.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Bangor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 700% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Larne · 0.25 pts / match - Bangor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Larne · 0.5 goals / match - Bangor
Larne is 450% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Larne · 2.75 goals / match - Bangor
Larne scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Bangor scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Bangor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bangor - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 25% |
| No goal | 100% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Bangor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Bangor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.63 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Larne 2 - 1 - 0 Bangor. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Bangor?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 1:0 Bangor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Bangor?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Bangor won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Bangor?
Larne score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bangor 0.50. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Larne's matches and 25% of Bangor's.
What form are Larne and Bangor in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Bangor 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Bangor?
The statistical background for Larne vs Bangor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.