Larne vs Cliftonville: match statistics
Larne vs Cliftonville: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne played Cliftonville in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 15 September 2026. Venue: Inver Park. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Larne: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Cliftonville: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.25 and concedes 0.25 goals per match. Cliftonville scores 1.83 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 25%, Cliftonville 50%. Over 2.5: Larne 25%, Cliftonville 67%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.46. Larne: 10.5 shots per match, Cliftonville: 12.2.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Cliftonville: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Larne: 46-60 (2 goals). Cliftonville: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne remain unbeaten in the league, with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw, and have won both of their home matches so far. The hosts create significantly better chances on their own ground: their average xG stands at 1.77, compared with Cliftonville’s 1.45 away from home, while their defensive xG conceded is considerably lower at 0.72 versus 1.56. Larne average 15 shots and 4.5 shots on target per home match, while the visitors record 12 and 4 respectively away from home. Both teams also concede an average of just 0.5 goals in their respective conditions, but Cliftonville have failed to score in 50% of their away matches, strengthening the case for a narrow home advantage. Their form over the last five matches is similar, with Larne averaging 2 points per game and Cliftonville 1.8; however, home advantage and the quality of chances created point towards a Larne victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by Cliftonville’s exceptionally solid defense, which concedes an average of just 0.50 goals per match this season and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of its games. Larne scores an average of 1.67 goals at home, but over its last five appearances it has managed only 1.0 goal per match, with BTTS occurring in just 20% of those games. Cliftonville does have an xG of 1.45 and averages 1.50 goals scored, but in their last five matches Larne allowed opponents just 0.8 goals and 1.15 xG. The league-wide BTTS rate is also only 39%, making the scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The 2.35-goal projection is based on a cautious assessment of current form: in their last five matches, Larne averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Cliftonville averaged 1.6 and 1.0, respectively. Although both teams’ average xG figures over their last five matches are relatively high—1.56 for Larne and 1.53 for Cliftonville—this has not consistently translated into very high-scoring results. Larne recorded Over 2.5 goals in 40% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Cliftonville, suggesting a realistic but not dominant chance of three goals. Particularly significant is that, according to the season data, Cliftonville have not recorded a match with at least 4 goals, while Larne exceeded this threshold in only 33% of matches. The Under 3.5 goals line therefore holds a clear advantage, as a four-goal outcome would require a result beyond both teams’ typical scoring range.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Larne victory in the match, as the hosts have been level at the break in 100% of their last five games, scoring and conceding no goals in the first half. Larne clearly improve after the interval: in this sequence, they average 1.0 goal after half-time, win the second half in 60% of matches, and average 2.0 points in those periods. Cliftonville can start matches strongly, leading at the break in 60% of their last five outings, but they win only 20% of second halves and concede an average of 1.0 goal after the interval. The hosts also have a better seasonal win rate, 67% compared with 50%, and average 5.0 shots on target per match versus 4.0 for their opponents. Although Cliftonville concede just 0.5 goals per match over the season, Larne’s advantage in the closing stages and their home profile support a post-half-time outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 39% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - Larne · 1.8 pts / match - Cliftonville
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cliftonville is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Larne · 1.83 goals / match - Cliftonville
Larne is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.25 goals / match - Larne · 1 goals / match - Cliftonville
Larne scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Cliftonville keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Cliftonville scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Cliftonville
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cliftonville is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Larne · 2.33 pts / match - Cliftonville
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cliftonville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Cliftonville
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 29% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Larne 2 - 2 - 0 Cliftonville. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Cliftonville?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:0 Cliftonville. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Cliftonville?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Cliftonville won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Cliftonville?
Larne score 1.25 goals per game on average and Cliftonville 1.83. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Larne's matches and 50% of Cliftonville's.
What form are Larne and Cliftonville in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Cliftonville 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Cliftonville?
The statistical background for Larne vs Cliftonville — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.