Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: match statistics
Larne is the clear favorite in this matchup, sitting at the top of the table and presenting impressive home form with a 63% win rate and just a 6% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency at home, conceding an average of merely 0.56 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 63% of their home fixtures. Dungannon Swifts show very poor away form with a 60% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -18, conceding a massive 2.07 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 47% of their road games, which, coupled with Larne's solid defense, significantly reduces their chances of picking up points. All key statistics, including ball possession advantage (57% vs 52%), shot efficiency, and xG metrics, point towards a confident victory for the hosts.
Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne played Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Larne: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Dungannon Swifts: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.77 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.26 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 42%, Dungannon Swifts 39%. Over 2.5: Larne 45%, Dungannon Swifts 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.52. Larne: 12.9 shots per match, Dungannon Swifts: 11.4.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.97. Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Larne: 76-90+ (17 goals). Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne is the clear favorite in this matchup, sitting at the top of the table and presenting impressive home form with a 63% win rate and just a 6% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency at home, conceding an average of merely 0.56 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 63% of their home fixtures. Dungannon Swifts show very poor away form with a 60% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -18, conceding a massive 2.07 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 47% of their road games, which, coupled with Larne's solid defense, significantly reduces their chances of picking up points. All key statistics, including ball possession advantage (57% vs 52%), shot efficiency, and xG metrics, point towards a confident victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dungannon Swifts is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Larne · 1.2 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Larne · 1.26 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Larne is 160% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Larne · 1.77 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Larne scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
Dungannon Swifts scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / match - Larne · 1.19 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Dungannon Swifts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Larne 1 - 0 - 1 Dungannon Swifts. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:1 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Dungannon Swifts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Dungannon Swifts won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Larne score 1.77 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.26. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Larne's matches and 39% of Dungannon Swifts's.
What form are Larne and Dungannon Swifts in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.