Larne vs Portadown: match statistics
Larne vs Portadown: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Larne played Portadown in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Venue: Inver Park. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Larne: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Portadown: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Larne scores 1.91 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Portadown scores 0.77 and concedes 1.85. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Larne 55%, Portadown 54%. Over 2.5: Larne 55%, Portadown 54%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.07. Larne: 12.4 shots per match, Portadown: 7.6.
Match halves
Larne: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.09. Portadown: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Larne: 76-90+ (5 goals). Portadown: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne sit 3rd and have won 7 of their 10 league matches, while 11th-placed Portadown have managed just 1 win in 13 games. At home, Larne have won 60% of their matches and average 1.6 goals per game, whereas Portadown have lost 83% of their away fixtures, conceding an average of 2.17 goals. Larne also create more chances: their home xG is 1.62 compared with Portadown’s away xG of 0.97, while they average 5.4 and 2.67 shots on target per game, respectively. In their last five matches, Larne have scored 13 goals and won 3 times, although the 8 goals conceded show that their defence is not watertight. Portadown have scored 5 goals over the same period, so while the visitors have a chance of finding the net, the hosts remain clear favourites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, both teams scored in 80% of Larne’s games and 60% of Portadown’s, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. Larne averaged 2.6 goals scored during this period, while Portadown conceded 1.4, making a home goal seem likely. The visitors averaged 1.0 goal in their last five outings, while Larne conceded 1.6, giving Portadown a genuine chance to score. Caution is warranted, however, as Larne failed to score in 57% of its home matches, and its season BTTS rate stands at 43%. Larne’s more recent scoring form, combined with Portadown’s failure to keep a clean sheet away from home, outweighs this concern.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 71% of Larne matches and 83% of Portadown matches. The visitors concede an average of 2.17 goals, while their opponents record an average of 1.71 xG, giving Larne a clear opportunity to score. Larne have averaged 2.6 goals across their last five matches, with at least three goals scored in each, although their season scoring average is just 0.57. The 2.77-goal projection supports Over 1.5, while Larne’s weaker season scoring record calls for caution with higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Larne have not won any of their seven home matches to date and have yet to lead at the break in any of them, but their last five matches overall point to a clear improvement: they led at half-time four times and won three times. During this spell, the hosts averaged 1.2 first-half goals compared with Portadown’s 0.4, which supports the prospect of Larne leading after 45 minutes. Portadown have lost five of their six away matches and conceded an average of 2.17 goals in those games, making it realistic that Larne will hold on to their lead. In addition, Larne have averaged 1.4 goals after the break across their last five matches, while Portadown have failed to win any of their last five second halves. Despite the hosts’ poor home record, 1/1 remains the strongest HT/FT pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Larne · 1 pts / match - Portadown
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 148% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Larne · 0.77 goals / match - Portadown
Larne is 103% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Larne · 1.85 goals / match - Portadown
Larne scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Portadown keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
Portadown scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Portadown
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 223% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Larne · 0.62 pts / match - Portadown
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Portadown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 8%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Larne
Portadown
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 55% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 26% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Larne 3 - 0 - 1 Portadown. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Portadown?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 1:0 Portadown. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Portadown?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Larne won 3, Portadown won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Portadown?
Larne score 1.91 goals per game on average and Portadown 0.77. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Larne's matches and 54% of Portadown's.
What form are Larne and Portadown in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Portadown 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Portadown?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Larne vs Portadown: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.