Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive: match statistics
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Las Vegas Lights played El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 5 July 2026. Venue: Cashman Field. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. El Paso Locomotive: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Las Vegas Lights scores 1.54 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. El Paso Locomotive scores 1.77 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Las Vegas Lights 77%, El Paso Locomotive 77%. Over 2.5: Las Vegas Lights 62%, El Paso Locomotive 77%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.30. Las Vegas Lights: 10.5 shots per match, El Paso Locomotive: 11.7.
Match halves
Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.85. El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (5 goals). El Paso Locomotive: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-3. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back 1 — home win. Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game, while El Paso have failed to win in that span (0-2-3) and average just 0.4 points per game. The home defense is a key factor: Las Vegas concede 0.83 goals at home on average, have xG against 1.30 and a 50% clean sheet rate, whereas El Paso concede 1.00 goals on the road with xG against 1.74 and only a 29% clean sheet rate. Offensively El Paso appear more efficient (1.86 goals on the road and 17% shot conversion vs 1.33 and 11% for the hosts), but the visitors have scored only 4 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, indicating a dip in form. Considering the superior form of the hosts, the lower goals-against average and higher share of chances created at home (11.67 shots and 4.33 on target), I give Las Vegas the better chances.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Las Vegas has a 100% seasonal BTTS rate at home while El Paso sits at 57% for the season against a league BTTS average of 56%. The hosts concede 2.67 goals per home match on average and have recorded 0% clean sheets at home, whereas El Paso posts a 29% clean sheet rate — indicating hosts regularly allow opponents to score. Although El Paso concedes 1.0 goal on average for the season, their xG_against is 1.74, and in the last 5 matches they conceded 1.8 per game versus 1.2 conceded by Las Vegas, which raises the likelihood of goal exchanges. Offensively both teams are comparable: xG_for 1.44 (Las Vegas) vs 1.31 (El Paso), shots on target 4.67 vs 4.0 and seasonal goals 20 vs 23, so both sides create chances. Overall, factoring in Las Vegas’s 100% BTTS, El Paso’s 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches and the higher goals conceded average by the hosts, I assign a 75% probability for BTTS and pick 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I back Over 2.5 as the best option because the combined goal projection is about 2.94 (home 1.59 vs away 1.35). Las Vegas concedes on average 2.67 goals per game, El Paso scores 1.86 on average, and the hosts register 12.67 shots with 4.67 on target versus 10.86 and 4.0 for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of goals. Season-long Over 2.5 occurred in 83% of Las Vegas matches and 71% of El Paso matches, with both-teams-to-score rates of 100% for Las Vegas and 57% for El Paso. Although Over 2.5 has dropped to 40% in the last 5 matches for both teams, xG values (Las Vegas xG_for 1.44 vs El Paso xG_against 1.74; El Paso xG_for 1.31 vs Las Vegas xG_against 1.38) yield a sum close to 3.0 goals. For these reasons the 2.5 line on the Over looks like the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso shows an advantage at the half: they led at the break in 4 of their away matches (57%) and average 1.29 goals by half-time while conceding just 0.43; Las Vegas at home led in only 1 match (17%) and averages 0.67 goals by half-time. Across the season the visitors also collect better results — 1.57 points per game and a 43% win rate versus the hosts' 0.83 points and 17% win rate — which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead after the break. Additionally, the hosts concede an average of 2.67 goals per match and in all home games there have been goals at both ends (100%), which makes it easier for the visitors to score and see out a victory. Based on these figures I assign the scenario of the visitors leading at the break and winning on Full-Time (2/2) the highest probability (45%), with the second choice being a Half-Time draw and Full-Time visitors’ win (X/2) at 12%, and visitors leading at the break and a draw at Full-Time (2/X) at 9%. Scenarios with the hosts leading at the break I assess collectively at about 17% (reflecting Las Vegas’s 17% rate of leading at the break), so they are not my priority.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Las Vegas Lights | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Las Vegas Lights is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 0.4 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.77 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
Las Vegas Lights scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
El Paso Locomotive scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights · 1.46 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Las Vegas Lights
El Paso Locomotive
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Las Vegas Lights | Liga | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.31 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 56% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 66% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Las Vegas Lights 2 - 0 - 3 El Paso Locomotive. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
The USL Championship match finished Las Vegas Lights 1:2 El Paso Locomotive. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 2, El Paso Locomotive won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Las Vegas Lights score 1.54 goals per game on average and El Paso Locomotive 1.77. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 77% of El Paso Locomotive's.
What form are Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive in?
Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and El Paso Locomotive 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.